Central Connecticut Blue Devils
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 7-25
Net rating−30.4Rank 356 of 363 · offence 358, defence 350
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 7-25 (3 to 12 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at VCUrank 167 | Away | 1% | 49-81 | L 43-67 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov | at James Madisonrank 48 | Away | 0% | 42-85 | L 38-77 | Right |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | vs Coppin Staterank 311 | Home | 34% | 60-65 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | vs Riderrank 317 | Home | 36% | 56-61 | — |
Rooting guide
- Mon 9 Nov: vs Coppin StateA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs RiderA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jill DinglerG | 2 | 31.0 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | −4.6 | −1.4 |
| Liana SalamoneG | 2 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | −4.4 | −0.9 |
| Taryn CampbellF | 2 | 22.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | −4.4 | −0.9 |
| Vanyah OteyG | 2 | 21.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | −4.3 | −0.8 |
| Na-Kyah WilliamsG | 2 | 17.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | −10.1 | −2.5 |
| Christa RamosG | 1 | 29.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −10.7 | −4.5 |
| Nyasia McKelveyC | 2 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −3.9 | −0.5 |
| Jah'Nae StevensF | 2 | 12.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −9.8 | −1.7 |
| Nicora PatrickG | 2 | 11.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −8.5 | −1.3 |
| Valentina VrcanG | 2 | 11.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | −3.9 | −0.4 |
| Isys DunphyG | 2 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.3 |
| Jessica FarrellG | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −8.7 | −2.0 |
| Mathilda ToureF | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −9.5 | −0.4 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 42.9%rank 328 | 45.0%rank 248 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 25.9%rank 347 | 23.2%rank 287 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.9%rank 116 | 31.4%rank 36 | 33.4% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.8%rank 251 | 19.0%rank 55 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −1.0 points a game (they shot 30.0%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.9 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −30.6
- Last season's net rating
- −37.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 37%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- +0.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 72.0 (rank 358)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 102.5 (rank 350)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.0 (rank 184)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +7.2 (rank 89)
Northeast Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −1.5 | 92.8 | 94.3 | 152 |
| 2 | Stonehill | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.9 | 84.4 | 102.3 | 309 |
| 3 | Mercyhurst | 1-1 | 0-0 | −19.3 | 81.2 | 100.5 | 320 |
| 4 | Chicago State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.6 | 79.8 | 103.5 | 342 |
| 5 | Long Island University | 0-2 | 0-0 | −24.8 | 77.9 | 102.8 | 346 |
| 6 | New Haven | 1-0 | 0-0 | −25.5 | 76.0 | 101.5 | 348 |
| 7 | Wagner | 1-0 | 0-0 | −29.1 | 71.9 | 101.0 | 355 |
| 8 | Central Connecticut | 0-2 | 0-0 | −30.4 | 72.0 | 102.5 | 356 |
| 9 | Le Moyne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −30.7 | 74.3 | 105.0 | 357 |