Le Moyne Dolphins
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 8-24
Net rating−30.7Rank 357 of 363 · offence 351, defence 363
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 8-24 (4 to 13 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at SMUrank 114 | Away | 4% | 55-79 | L 36-72 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov7:30 PM ET | at TCUrank 16 | Away | 0% | 39-93 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov6 PM ET | vs SUNY Geneseonot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna NicholsG | 1 | 30.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −5.1 | −1.6 |
| Kendal MoxeyF · transfer from Bowling Green | 1 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | −3.7 | −0.8 |
| Eli ClarkG | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −8.4 | −2.5 |
| Ashley BuragasF | 1 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −3.3 | −0.4 |
| Peyton DincherG | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −7.2 | −1.5 |
| Sydney PostellF | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −6.8 | −1.3 |
| Kayden ClarkG | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −8.6 | −1.8 |
| Praise MatthewsF | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −9.2 | −1.9 |
| Ava LucarottiG | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −4.7 | −0.6 |
| Ava BluhmG | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −4.5 | −0.4 |
| Jessica WangoloG | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −7.5 | −0.5 |
| Rachel LynchF | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −9.8 | −0.6 |
| Sophia BonnellG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −9.5 | −0.4 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 134 | 43.3%rank 47 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 26.4%rank 355 | 23.2%rank 280 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.2%rank 252 | 35.9%rank 344 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 18.6%rank 329 | 20.5%rank 237 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +5.5 points a game (they shot 20.8%, league 28.4%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −3.5 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −24.2
- Last season's net rating
- −27.3
- Last season's minutes returning
- 77%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.1
- Change since preseason
- −6.5
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 74.5 (rank 351)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 105.2 (rank 363)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.5 (rank 334)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +2.8 (rank 101)
Northeast Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −1.6 | 93.0 | 94.5 | 157 |
| 2 | Stonehill | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.0 | 84.5 | 102.5 | 309 |
| 3 | Mercyhurst | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.4 | 81.3 | 100.7 | 319 |
| 4 | Chicago State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.7 | 80.0 | 103.7 | 342 |
| 5 | Long Island University | 0-2 | 0-0 | −24.9 | 78.0 | 103.0 | 346 |
| 6 | New Haven | 1-0 | 0-0 | −25.5 | 76.2 | 101.7 | 348 |
| 7 | Central Connecticut | 0-1 | 0-0 | −29.0 | 72.8 | 101.8 | 355 |
| 8 | Wagner | 1-0 | 0-0 | −29.1 | 72.1 | 101.2 | 356 |
| 9 | Le Moyne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −30.7 | 74.5 | 105.2 | 357 |