Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
Next: vs East Stroudsburg · Mon 9 Nov, 7 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament72%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.1
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 26-7
Net rating−1.7Rank 156 of 363 · offence 117, defence 223
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 26-7 (22 to 28 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 15-1
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 90%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 72%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.1
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field72%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
- Thu 12 Nov: vs ManhattanA win: 72% · a loss: 72%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese DowneyG | 2 | 31.5 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | −0.6 | +0.9 |
| Leah CrosbyF | 2 | 28.5 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 2.5 | +1.4 | +1.8 |
| Rebecca Osei-OwusuF | 2 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | +2.4 | +2.2 |
| Ane ValleG | 2 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −1.5 | +0.3 |
| Ophir WeintraubG | 2 | 21.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Iriona GravleyF · transfer from Drexel | 2 | 19.0 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Theresa BiladiG | 2 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | −1.5 | +0.2 |
| Ally KaminskiG | 2 | 16.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | −1.2 | +0.3 |
| Analyse IntenzoG | 1 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.3 |
| Megan NgoG | 2 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | −0.8 | +0.1 |
| Sofia TavarezG | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.6 | +0.1 |
| Jada ElstonG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.1 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 47.5%rank 17 | 46.3%rank 321 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 22.2%rank 26 | 22.9%rank 300 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 31.6%rank 308 | 35.1%rank 318 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 18.0%rank 352 | 18.4%rank 24 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −4.3 points a game (they shot 37.5%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.9 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −5.0
- Last season's net rating
- +7.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 33%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- +3.3
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 93.0 (rank 117)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 94.6 (rank 223)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.6 (rank 354)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +29.6 (rank 16)
Northeast Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −1.7 | 93.0 | 94.6 | 156 |
| 2 | Stonehill | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.1 | 84.5 | 102.6 | 311 |
| 3 | Mercyhurst | 1-1 | 0-0 | −19.4 | 81.4 | 100.8 | 322 |
| 4 | Chicago State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −22.0 | 81.0 | 103.0 | 338 |
| 5 | Long Island University | 0-2 | 0-0 | −25.0 | 78.0 | 103.0 | 347 |
| 6 | New Haven | 1-0 | 0-0 | −25.5 | 76.2 | 101.7 | 349 |
| 7 | Wagner | 1-0 | 0-0 | −29.1 | 72.1 | 101.2 | 355 |
| 8 | Le Moyne | 0-2 | 0-0 | −29.7 | 77.2 | 106.9 | 356 |
| 9 | Central Connecticut | 0-2 | 0-0 | −30.6 | 72.1 | 102.8 | 358 |