Long Island University Sharks
Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 16.0
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 11-19
Net rating−25.0Rank 347 of 363 · offence 332, defence 352
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 11-19 (6 to 16 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 2%
- Average seed if in the field
- 16.0
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field2%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Rutgersrank 82 | Away | 3% | 66-92 | L 52-83 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | at Texas Staterank 211 | Away | 11% | 57-75 | L 51-69 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov2 PM ET | at Pittsburghrank 158 | Away | 3% | 55-80 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | at SMUrank 113 | Away | 1% | 50-78 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at PittsburghA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at SMUA win: <1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teriyah McFaddenG | 2 | 37.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | −5.1 | −2.0 |
| Janessa WilliamsG | 2 | 37.0 | 20.5 | 6.5 | 3.0 | −2.5 | −0.3 |
| Leila NunezF | 2 | 31.0 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | −5.5 | −1.9 |
| Camille WileyG | 2 | 28.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | −7.3 | −2.7 |
| Laura MolnarovaF | 2 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | −5.8 | −1.5 |
| Kylie MorrisF | 2 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | −4.2 | −0.7 |
| Meagen ScottG · transfer from Alabama St | 1 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −6.5 | −1.1 |
| Fabiana PoindujourG | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.5 | −0.3 |
| Sydney HuskeyG | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −3.5 | −0.2 |
| Carmela NunezF | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −7.8 | −0.8 |
| Kennady GordonG | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.4 | −0.1 |
| Symone PittmanG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.2 | 0.0 |
| Portia McLeanF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.2 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 47.5%rank 16 | 43.5%rank 70 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 27.4%rank 356 | 23.2%rank 276 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.8%rank 239 | 36.8%rank 356 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.0%rank 316 | 21.6%rank 278 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +2.6 points a game (they shot 25.0%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.4 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −19.1
- Last season's net rating
- −11.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 40%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.4
- Change since preseason
- −5.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 78.0 (rank 332)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 103.0 (rank 352)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.2 (rank 166)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +0.7 (rank 126)
Northeast Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −1.7 | 93.0 | 94.6 | 156 |
| 2 | Stonehill | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.1 | 84.5 | 102.6 | 311 |
| 3 | Mercyhurst | 1-1 | 0-0 | −19.4 | 81.4 | 100.8 | 322 |
| 4 | Chicago State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −22.0 | 81.0 | 103.0 | 338 |
| 5 | Long Island University | 0-2 | 0-0 | −25.0 | 78.0 | 103.0 | 347 |
| 6 | New Haven | 1-0 | 0-0 | −25.5 | 76.2 | 101.7 | 349 |
| 7 | Wagner | 1-0 | 0-0 | −29.1 | 72.1 | 101.2 | 355 |
| 8 | Le Moyne | 0-2 | 0-0 | −29.7 | 77.2 | 106.9 | 356 |
| 9 | Central Connecticut | 0-2 | 0-0 | −30.6 | 72.1 | 102.8 | 358 |