New Haven Chargers

Women's · Northeast Conference · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: at Tennessee · Tue 10 Nov, 6:30 PM ET

New Haven0%100%Tennessee

Projected 44-94 · Game page

Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.9

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-20

Net rating−25.5Rank 348 of 363 · offence 344, defence 348

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 12-20 (6 to 18 wins)
Projected conference record: 7-9
Wins or shares the conference title: 2%
Wins the conference tournament: 3%
Average seed if in the field: 15.9
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field3%
Round of 320%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Mon 2 Nov	vs Mitchellnot Division I	Home	—	—	W 103-44
Tue 10 Nov6:30 PM ET	at Tennesseerank 25	Away	0%	44-94	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: 2% · the next 7 days

No games this week

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Tanavia TurpinG	1	25.0	21.0	9.0	3.0	−3.0	−0.4
Teaira KelleyG	1	24.0	23.0	11.0	4.0	−6.3	−1.8
Carla RamirezG · transfer from C Arkansas	1	24.0	4.0	1.0	5.0	−2.4	−0.1
Laura Vera RamirezG · transfer from UAlbany	1	21.0	14.0	1.0	2.0	−3.3	−0.4
Claudia Lazaro-CarrascoF · transfer from Rider	1	16.0	8.0	10.0	1.0	−6.0	−1.1
Eveani OkwuosaG	1	12.0	9.0	0.0	0.0	−7.3	−1.1
Jasmine McKayG	1	11.0	6.0	1.0	1.0	−7.0	−1.0
Kate HennessyG	1	11.0	0.0	2.0	1.0	−2.8	−0.1
Jeeanna PierantoniG	1	10.0	4.0	3.0	2.0	−7.9	−1.0
Simone Pugh-GreavesC	1	10.0	0.0	3.0	1.0	−2.7	−0.1
Schuyler ColesG	1	9.0	2.0	2.0	1.0	−7.5	−0.9
Mallory FarrG	1	8.0	6.0	3.0	0.0	−8.2	−0.9
Renelle GrannumG	1	7.0	0.0	1.0	2.0	−8.6	−0.8
Samantha BattleG	1	7.0	6.0	0.0	0.0	−7.8	−0.7
Zanri BarnettG	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−2.5	0.0
Tanaiya ClarkeF	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−2.5	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	44.7%rank 137	44.7%rank 132	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.8%rank 144	23.8%rank 126	23.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	33.5%rank 137	33.5%rank 135	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	20.5%rank 127	20.5%rank 140	20.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −25.5
Last season's net rating: −26.5
Last season's minutes returning: 38%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: 0.0
Change since preseason: 0.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 76.2 (rank 344)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 101.7 (rank 348)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 71.5 (rank 334)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: —

Northeast Conference by rating

9 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Fairleigh Dickinson	0-2	0-0	−1.6	93.0	94.5	157
2	Stonehill	0-1	0-0	−18.0	84.5	102.5	309
3	Mercyhurst	0-1	0-0	−19.4	81.3	100.7	319
4	Chicago State	0-1	0-0	−23.7	80.0	103.7	342
5	Long Island University	0-2	0-0	−24.9	78.0	103.0	346
6	New Haven	1-0	0-0	−25.5	76.2	101.7	348
7	Central Connecticut	0-1	0-0	−29.0	72.8	101.8	355
8	Wagner	1-0	0-0	−29.1	72.1	101.2	356
9	Le Moyne	0-1	0-0	−30.7	74.5	105.2	357