Coppin State Eagles
Makes the tournament4%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.7
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-20
Net rating−18.0Rank 310 of 363 · offence 325, defence 271
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-20 (8 to 19 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-7
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 3%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 4%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.7
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field4%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Cheyney (PA)not Division I | Home | — | — | W 80-69 | |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | vs Tennesseerank 25 | Home | 1% | 54-89 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | at Central Connecticutrank 355 | Away | 63% | 65-61 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET | at Hofstrarank 274 | Away | 26% | 59-67 | — |
Rooting guide
- Mon 9 Nov: at Central ConnecticutA win: 4% · a loss: 4%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at HofstraA win: 4% · a loss: 4%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anya GeorgeG · transfer from UMass | 1 | 34.0 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −3.8 | −1.1 |
| Karen NimoG · transfer from Charlotte | 1 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | −4.7 | −1.4 |
| Shanaii GambleF | 1 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −2.9 | −0.3 |
| Samari TaylorF · transfer from UAB | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | −2.8 | −0.2 |
| Delaney CooperG · transfer from Stony Brook | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −3.9 | −0.7 |
| Bray'ana MilesG | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −3.0 | −0.3 |
| Amber HowardG · transfer from Buffalo | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −5.0 | −1.1 |
| Arly ZapataF | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −2.7 | −0.1 |
| Jayleen JonesG | 1 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.6 | −0.1 |
| Tariya WrightG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | 0.0 |
| Kylie WellsG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.8 | −0.1 |
| Ciani ScottF | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 137 | 44.7%rank 132 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.8%rank 144 | 23.8%rank 126 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.5%rank 137 | 33.5%rank 135 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.5%rank 127 | 20.5%rank 140 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −18.0
- Last season's net rating
- −14.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 13%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.2
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 78.6 (rank 325)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 96.6 (rank 271)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 75.1 (rank 39)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard | 0-1 | 0-0 | +2.3 | 93.1 | 90.8 | 118 |
| 2 | Norfolk State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −6.7 | 85.2 | 91.8 | 201 |
| 3 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.5 | 78.6 | 95.1 | 298 |
| 4 | Coppin State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.0 | 78.6 | 96.6 | 310 |
| 5 | North Carolina Central | 1-1 | 0-0 | −20.8 | 74.6 | 95.4 | 330 |
| 6 | Morgan State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −25.4 | 74.7 | 100.1 | 347 |
| 7 | Delaware State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −27.4 | 73.3 | 100.8 | 354 |
| 8 | South Carolina State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −31.2 | 71.5 | 102.7 | 360 |