North Carolina Central Eagles
Next: at UNC Wilmington · Sat 7 Nov, 12 PM ETProjected 61-66 · Game page
Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-20
Net rating−20.9Rank 332 of 363 · offence 351, defence 240
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-20 (8 to 18 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 2%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field2%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Virginia Techrank 30 | Away | 0% | 63-100 | L 39-85 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | vs Johnson C. Smithnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 99-73 | |
| Sat 7 Nov12 PM ET | at UNC Wilmingtonrank 333 | Away | 37% | 61-66 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov6 PM ET | vs Fayetteville Statenot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | at North Carolinarank 19 | Away | 0% | 42-92 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at UNC WilmingtonA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria MorrisG | 2 | 30.5 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | −5.2 | −1.8 |
| Eboni ClayG | 2 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | −3.5 | −0.7 |
| Shrouq AmerC | 2 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | −3.6 | −0.7 |
| Aysia HintonG | 2 | 23.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | −4.3 | −0.9 |
| Dianna BlakeF | 2 | 22.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −4.3 | −0.9 |
| Kenadi BanksG | 2 | 20.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | −3.4 | −0.5 |
| Chloe CrawfordF | 2 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | −3.1 | −0.3 |
| Amaya HarrisG | 2 | 13.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | −5.8 | −0.9 |
| Aaliyah GrantF | 2 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −5.5 | −0.6 |
| Kendall AlexanderG | 2 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | −4.9 | −0.4 |
| Keileen Thompson-EdwardsG | 2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −2.5 | 0.0 |
| Ariel WalkerF | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 41.9%rank 351 | 43.9%rank 96 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 25.3%rank 320 | 23.2%rank 276 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.7%rank 124 | 33.1%rank 135 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.4%rank 228 | 19.2%rank 59 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +5.6 points a game (they shot 20.8%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −19.4
- Last season's net rating
- −18.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 35%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- −1.5
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 74.6 (rank 351)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 95.4 (rank 240)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 76.7 (rank 7)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +23.0 (rank 30)
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard | 0-1 | 0-0 | +2.2 | 93.1 | 90.9 | 119 |
| 2 | Norfolk State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −6.7 | 85.2 | 91.8 | 199 |
| 3 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.9 | 78.8 | 94.7 | 295 |
| 4 | Coppin State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −18.0 | 78.8 | 96.8 | 310 |
| 5 | North Carolina Central | 1-1 | 0-0 | −20.9 | 74.6 | 95.4 | 332 |
| 6 | Morgan State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −25.4 | 74.7 | 100.1 | 348 |
| 7 | Delaware State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −28.1 | 72.5 | 100.6 | 353 |
| 8 | South Carolina State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −36.9 | 68.1 | 105.0 | 363 |