Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
Next: vs District of Columbia · Sat 7 Nov, 2 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament4%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.7
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-20
Net rating−16.5Rank 298 of 363 · offence 326, defence 235
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-20 (7 to 16 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-6
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 3%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 4%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.7
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field4%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Virginiarank 47 | Away | 2% | 64-92 | L 45-87 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov2 PM ET | vs District of Columbianot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | at Georgia Techrank 71 | Away | 1% | 51-81 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 12 Nov: at Georgia TechA win: 5% · a loss: 4%+1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaliya PerryF | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | −1.7 | +0.3 |
| Kalise HillG | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.7 | −0.3 |
| Marley JeffersF | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Chasity WilsonG · transfer from Niagara | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −7.3 | −2.0 |
| Jailynn ClaytonG | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.9 | −1.0 |
| Aliza MurrayG | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Mak MooreG · transfer from Rutgers | 1 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Jaida CameronG | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.1 | −0.2 |
| Desi TaylorG | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Uzoamaka Angela SamuelC · transfer from S Illinois | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −5.4 | −0.7 |
| Patience JohnG | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Trista WhitneyG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.4%rank 249 | 45.8%rank 303 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.8%rank 310 | 24.2%rank 88 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 30.8%rank 352 | 33.2%rank 117 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.0%rank 245 | 22.7%rank 339 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −3.9 points a game (they shot 35.0%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.0
- Last season's net rating
- −9.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 43%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −4.5
- Change since preseason
- −2.5
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 78.7 (rank 326)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 95.2 (rank 235)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.3 (rank 72)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +17.0 (rank 44)
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard | 0-1 | 0-0 | +2.3 | 93.2 | 90.9 | 118 |
| 2 | Norfolk State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −6.7 | 85.2 | 91.9 | 201 |
| 3 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.5 | 78.7 | 95.2 | 298 |
| 4 | Coppin State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.0 | 78.7 | 96.7 | 310 |
| 5 | North Carolina Central | 1-1 | 0-0 | −20.8 | 74.6 | 95.4 | 330 |
| 6 | Morgan State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −25.3 | 74.8 | 100.1 | 347 |
| 7 | Delaware State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −27.4 | 73.4 | 100.8 | 354 |
| 8 | South Carolina State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −31.2 | 71.6 | 102.8 | 360 |