Morgan State Lady Bears
Next: at Oklahoma St · Fri 6 Nov, 6 PM ETProjected 41-91 · Game page
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 8-24
Net rating−25.3Rank 347 of 363 · offence 348, defence 327
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 8-24 (4 to 12 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mihjae HayesG | 2 | 26.5 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | −6.8 | −2.2 |
| Merit InnocentC · transfer from New Haven | 2 | 20.5 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | −7.3 | −1.9 |
| Chardae RumphG | 2 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | −4.6 | −0.9 |
| Kamari ForrestG | 2 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | −4.5 | −0.7 |
| Mercy LasuF | 2 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | −4.4 | −0.6 |
| Jahzara LeamonG | 2 | 14.5 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | −4.3 | −0.6 |
| Shani ClarkG | 2 | 14.0 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | −4.4 | −0.6 |
| Simran WilliamsG | 2 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −4.3 | −0.5 |
| Janaya MeyersG · transfer from NC A&T | 2 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | −4.5 | −0.5 |
| Dru CarltonG | 2 | 11.5 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.2 | −0.4 |
| Alexiz GraiseG | 2 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −4.2 | −0.4 |
| Kenya RamseyG | 2 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −4.2 | −0.4 |
| Yonta VaughnG | 2 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | −4.1 | −0.3 |
| Dakota AlstonG | 1 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −7.1 | −1.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 42.8%rank 341 | 45.7%rank 293 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.6%rank 123 | 23.0%rank 303 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 31.3%rank 333 | 31.3%rank 27 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 18.4%rank 345 | 21.9%rank 314 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −2.6 points a game (they shot 33.3%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.7 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −24.2
- Last season's net rating
- −25.3
- Last season's minutes returning
- 17%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.0
- Change since preseason
- −1.1
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 74.8 (rank 348)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 100.1 (rank 327)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.1 (rank 183)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +20.9 (rank 32)
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard | 0-1 | 0-0 | +2.3 | 93.2 | 90.9 | 118 |
| 2 | Norfolk State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −6.7 | 85.2 | 91.9 | 201 |
| 3 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.5 | 78.7 | 95.2 | 298 |
| 4 | Coppin State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.0 | 78.7 | 96.7 | 310 |
| 5 | North Carolina Central | 1-1 | 0-0 | −20.8 | 74.6 | 95.4 | 330 |
| 6 | Morgan State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −25.3 | 74.8 | 100.1 | 347 |
| 7 | Delaware State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −27.4 | 73.4 | 100.8 | 354 |
| 8 | South Carolina State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −31.2 | 71.6 | 102.8 | 360 |