Delaware State Hornets
Next: at Robert Morris · Sun 8 Nov, 2 PM ETProjected 53-70 · Game page
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 8-22
Net rating−27.4Rank 354 of 363 · offence 355, defence 339
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 8-22 (4 to 12 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 4-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Georgetownrank 91 | Away | 1% | 60-92 | L 47-84 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | vs Georgian Courtnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 80-75 | |
| Sun 8 Nov2 PM ET | at Robert Morrisrank 263 | Away | 10% | 53-70 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | at Pittsburghrank 157 | Away | 2% | 52-78 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sun 8 Nov: at Robert MorrisA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: at PittsburghA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skye PeppG | 2 | 36.5 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | −5.0 | −1.9 |
| Maya McCorkleG · transfer from ETSU | 2 | 24.5 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | −6.2 | −1.8 |
| Anise GeigerF | 2 | 23.5 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.5 | −6.5 | −1.9 |
| Jaida HelmG | 2 | 21.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −4.4 | −0.9 |
| Amya ScottG | 2 | 20.5 | 17.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | −6.2 | −1.5 |
| Skylah KempG | 2 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | −4.1 | −0.7 |
| Channing WilliamsG | 2 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | −6.8 | −1.4 |
| Mahogany CottinghamG | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −5.7 | −1.0 |
| Autumn SimonF | 2 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | −4.1 | −0.5 |
| Dallas PierceG · transfer from Siena | 2 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −6.5 | −0.5 |
| Mariah JonesG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.3 | 0.0 |
| Oluwalu EnajekpoC | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.3 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 45.7%rank 61 | 44.7%rank 226 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 26.9%rank 356 | 24.6%rank 66 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.6%rank 271 | 34.8%rank 302 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.3%rank 290 | 23.9%rank 352 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −7.9 points a game (they shot 38.5%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 1-0
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −26.7
- Last season's net rating
- −23.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 20%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.4
- Change since preseason
- −0.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 73.3 (rank 355)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 100.7 (rank 339)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.2 (rank 159)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +7.4 (rank 84)
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard | 0-1 | 0-0 | +2.3 | 93.0 | 90.7 | 118 |
| 2 | Norfolk State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −6.7 | 85.0 | 91.7 | 200 |
| 3 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.5 | 78.5 | 95.0 | 297 |
| 4 | Coppin State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.0 | 78.5 | 96.5 | 310 |
| 5 | North Carolina Central | 1-1 | 0-0 | −20.8 | 74.5 | 95.3 | 333 |
| 6 | Morgan State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −25.3 | 74.6 | 100.0 | 347 |
| 7 | Delaware State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −27.4 | 73.3 | 100.7 | 354 |
| 8 | South Carolina State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −31.2 | 71.4 | 102.6 | 359 |