Georgetown Hoyas
Makes the tournament6%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 9.6
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 17-17
Net rating+7.4Rank 91 of 363 · offence 99, defence 80
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 17-17 (11 to 23 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 0%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 9.6
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field6%
- Round of 322%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight<1%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Delaware Staterank 354 | Home | 99% | 92-60 | W 84-47 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | vs American Universityrank 326 | Home | 98% | 78-51 | — | |
| Sun 8 Nov2 PM ET | vs Saint Peter'srank 350 | Home | 99% | 80-47 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET | at George Washingtonrank 136 | Away | 53% | 64-63 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: vs American UniversityA win: 6% · a loss: 5%+1 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: vs Saint Peter'sA win: 6% · a loss: 6%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at George WashingtonA win: 6% · a loss: 6%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnea DonahueG · transfer from Bowling Green | 1 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | +3.5 | +2.5 |
| Khia MillerG | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | +3.4 | +2.2 |
| Amanda AjobieweG | 1 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +1.8 | +1.5 |
| Kendall PerryG | 1 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −0.8 | +0.5 |
| Clarence DjuelaF · transfer from N'Western St | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | +1.1 | +1.1 |
| Brianna ByarsF | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | +1.7 | +1.3 |
| Stella LockhartF | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.5 |
| Bo FrostG | 1 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −0.7 | +0.4 |
| Winner BartholomewG · transfer from Pacific | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | +2.3 | +1.2 |
| Destiny AgubataG | 1 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | +5.1 | +1.8 |
| J'Bionna RobinsonG · transfer from N Arizona | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −0.4 | +0.3 |
| Corrie McLaughlinF · transfer from UNC Wilmington | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −4.6 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.8%rank 130 | 45.8%rank 303 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.5%rank 295 | 26.9%rank 7 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.8%rank 60 | 32.7%rank 85 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 23.8%rank 8 | 19.3%rank 74 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 1.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +1.2 points a game (they shot 26.3%, league 28.4%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +3.5 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +6.7
- Last season's net rating
- +10.3
- Last season's minutes returning
- 35%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −3.5
- Change since preseason
- +0.8
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 94.5 (rank 99)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 87.1 (rank 80)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.5 (rank 262)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −27.4 (rank 263)
Big East Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UConn | 1-0 | 0-0 | +51.2 | 117.7 | 66.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Villanova | 0-1 | 0-0 | +19.2 | 106.6 | 87.3 | 39 |
| 3 | Creighton | 1-0 | 0-0 | +17.1 | 103.0 | 85.8 | 46 |
| 4 | St. John's | 1-0 | 0-0 | +16.5 | 99.9 | 83.4 | 49 |
| 5 | Seton Hall | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.3 | 92.8 | 82.5 | 76 |
| 6 | Butler | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.0 | 98.8 | 88.8 | 77 |
| 7 | Georgetown | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.4 | 94.5 | 87.1 | 91 |
| 8 | Marquette | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.3 | 92.7 | 85.4 | 92 |
| 9 | Providence | 1-0 | 0-0 | +3.7 | 93.2 | 89.5 | 108 |
| 10 | Xavier | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.9 | 91.2 | 92.1 | 148 |
| 11 | DePaul | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.1 | 93.5 | 94.7 | 152 |