Marquette Golden Eagles

Women's · Big East Conference · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: vs Minnesota · Sat 7 Nov, 3 PM ET

Minnesota93%7%Marquette

Projected 57-77 · Game page

Makes the tournament5%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 9.6

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-17

Net rating+6.9Rank 92 of 363 · offence 122, defence 57

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 15-17 (10 to 21 wins)
Projected conference record: 8-12
Wins or shares the conference title: 0%
Wins the conference tournament: <1%
Average seed if in the field: 9.6
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field5%
Round of 321%
Sweet 16<1%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Tue 3 Nov	vs Mississippi Valley Staterank 354	Home	100%	87-49	W 80-42	Right
Sat 7 Nov3 PM ET	vs Minnesotarank 6	Home	7%	57-77	—
Tue 10 Nov12 PM ET	vs Presbyterianrank 359	Home	100%	81-45	—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 5% · the next 7 days

Sat 7 Nov: vs MinnesotaA win: 11% · a loss: 4%+7 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Halle ViceF	1	24.0	17.0	16.0	3.0	+6.2	+3.6
Kayl PetersenF · transfer from Virginia Tech	1	24.0	10.0	5.0	3.0	+3.7	+2.6
Kinley AspG	1	24.0	3.0	6.0	5.0	−0.9	+0.6
MacKenzie GivensG · transfer from Xavier	1	20.0	14.0	3.0	2.0	+3.2	+2.0
Yu Han LinG · transfer from MTSU	1	20.0	14.0	1.0	0.0	+0.2	+0.8
Jordan MeulemansG	1	19.0	9.0	0.0	2.0	+0.6	+1.0
Amina TraoreC	1	19.0	4.0	11.0	2.0	−0.7	+0.5
Brooklyn HallG	1	17.0	7.0	4.0	1.0	−0.7	+0.5
Kam HerringG	1	13.0	2.0	3.0	2.0	+1.0	+0.8
Noelle AnthonF	1	12.0	0.0	5.0	1.0	−0.5	+0.3
Se'Crette CarterG	1	8.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−0.4	+0.2

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	45.4%rank 86	41.5%rank 10	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	25.9%rank 341	22.3%rank 331	23.9%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	35.6%rank 32	30.4%rank 19	33.3%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	21.5%rank 95	20.3%rank 128	20.8%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 1.0 won, 1.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting: +11.1 points a game (they shot 10.0%, league 28.6%)
Opponents' free throws: +1.6 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: +8.2
Last season's net rating: +14.1
Last season's minutes returning: 27%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: +0.9
Change since preseason: −1.3

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 92.5 (rank 122)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 85.5 (rank 57)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 72.6 (rank 226)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: −28.6 (rank 293)

Big East Conference by rating

11 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	UConn	1-1	0-0	+50.1	117.3	67.2	1
2	Villanova	0-1	0-0	+19.2	106.6	87.4	40
3	Creighton	1-0	0-0	+17.1	103.0	85.9	48
4	St. John's	1-0	0-0	+16.5	99.9	83.4	51
5	Butler	2-0	0-0	+15.0	102.0	87.0	62
6	Seton Hall	1-0	0-0	+10.3	92.8	82.5	77
7	Marquette	1-0	0-0	+6.9	92.5	85.5	92
8	Georgetown	2-0	0-0	+5.0	95.4	90.4	98
9	Providence	1-0	0-0	+3.8	93.3	89.5	105
10	Xavier	1-0	0-0	−0.9	91.3	92.2	148
11	DePaul	1-0	0-0	−1.1	93.6	94.7	149