Presbyterian Blue Hose
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 7-23
Net rating−31.4Rank 359 of 363 · offence 355, defence 360
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 7-23 (4 to 11 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 3-13
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at UNC Greensbororank 293 | Away | 7% | 63-84 | L 50-58 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov | at Wake Forestrank 136 | Away | 1% | 47-79 | L 53-85 | Right |
| Tue 10 Nov12 PM ET | at Marquetterank 92 | Away | 0% | 45-81 | — |
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystal HaddockG | 2 | 27.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | −8.2 | −3.0 |
| Alyssa FebresG · transfer from Kansas City | 2 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −5.3 | −1.4 |
| Aretha LingerG | 2 | 25.0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | −7.9 | −2.6 |
| Azjah ReevesG · transfer from Wichita St | 2 | 24.5 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −6.3 | −1.9 |
| Yasmeen BrightwellG | 2 | 23.5 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | −4.2 | −0.9 |
| Yolanda FloydG | 2 | 21.0 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | −9.0 | −2.6 |
| Saoirse SmartF | 2 | 18.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | −4.0 | −0.6 |
| Dylande InnocentF | 2 | 14.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.4 |
| Kyaija StewartF · transfer from Texas St | 2 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −4.8 | −0.5 |
| Samantha MullockF | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −9.1 | −1.9 |
| Fiona DiomandeG · transfer from Wichita St | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −4.5 | −0.1 |
| Inna DimovaG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.1 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.3%rank 300 | 45.7%rank 286 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.5%rank 125 | 24.9%rank 61 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.0%rank 107 | 33.4%rank 219 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.9%rank 264 | 21.6%rank 273 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −0.2 points a game (they shot 29.0%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- 0.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −33.8
- Last season's net rating
- −41.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 42%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.3
- Change since preseason
- +2.4
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 73.2 (rank 355)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 104.6 (rank 360)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.1 (rank 172)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −7.5 (rank 196)
Big South Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Point | 2-0 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 87.3 | 93.5 | 195 |
| 2 | Radford | 1-1 | 0-0 | −11.1 | 83.2 | 94.3 | 242 |
| 3 | Longwood | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.6 | 82.2 | 95.8 | 272 |
| 4 | South Carolina Upstate | 1-1 | 0-0 | −17.9 | 78.1 | 96.0 | 309 |
| 5 | Winthrop | 1-1 | 0-0 | −21.4 | 77.4 | 98.7 | 335 |
| 6 | Charleston Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.1 | 77.0 | 100.1 | 342 |
| 7 | Gardner-Webb | 1-0 | 0-0 | −23.2 | 77.8 | 101.0 | 343 |
| 8 | UNC Asheville | 1-0 | 0-0 | −26.7 | 74.3 | 101.0 | 352 |
| 9 | Presbyterian | 0-2 | 0-0 | −31.4 | 73.2 | 104.6 | 359 |