Charleston Southern Buccaneers
Next: at Charleston · Sat 7 Nov, 1 PM ETProjected 53-76 · Game page
Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 16.0
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 9-22
Net rating−23.0Rank 340 of 363 · offence 340, defence 326
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 9-22 (4 to 14 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 2%
- Average seed if in the field
- 16.0
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field2%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at East Carolinarank 167 | Away | 4% | 54-79 | L 45-61 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov1 PM ET | at Charlestonrank 172 | Away | 6% | 53-76 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | at Mercerrank 307 | Away | 25% | 58-68 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at CharlestonA win: 2% · a loss: 1%+1 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at MercerA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashleigh BattleG · transfer from Campbell | 1 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | −6.2 | −2.8 |
| Sofia EkhG · transfer from Idaho | 1 | 37.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −3.7 | −1.1 |
| Iva CholakoskaG | 1 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −3.9 | −0.7 |
| Celina VilcinskasC | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −3.9 | −0.7 |
| Selenay TanikF | 1 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −3.9 | −0.7 |
| Lauren CummingsF · transfer from Long Beach St | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −6.9 | −1.8 |
| Iva MedugoracG | 1 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −3.9 | −0.6 |
| Anica SkrivanC | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.5 |
| Rochelle Afo ManumaG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.4 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.8%rank 284 | 43.0%rank 27 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 26.1%rank 351 | 23.4%rank 254 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 36.2%rank 13 | 35.4%rank 326 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 21.2%rank 89 | 19.7%rank 101 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +2.9 points a game (they shot 25.7%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +2.9 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −23.9
- Last season's net rating
- −23.1
- Last season's minutes returning
- 7%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.1
- Change since preseason
- +0.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 77.1 (rank 340)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 100.1 (rank 326)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.0 (rank 196)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −2.3 (rank 144)
Big South Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Point | 2-0 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 87.4 | 93.6 | 198 |
| 2 | Radford | 1-1 | 0-0 | −10.7 | 83.7 | 94.4 | 236 |
| 3 | Longwood | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.6 | 82.2 | 95.9 | 275 |
| 4 | South Carolina Upstate | 1-1 | 0-0 | −17.8 | 78.6 | 96.3 | 305 |
| 5 | Winthrop | 1-0 | 0-0 | −20.2 | 79.5 | 99.7 | 328 |
| 6 | Charleston Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.0 | 77.1 | 100.1 | 340 |
| 7 | Gardner-Webb | 0-0 | 0-0 | −23.2 | 77.9 | 101.1 | 341 |
| 8 | UNC Asheville | 1-0 | 0-0 | −26.7 | 74.4 | 101.1 | 351 |
| 9 | Presbyterian | 0-1 | 0-0 | −31.6 | 71.7 | 103.3 | 362 |