Radford Highlanders
Next: at E Kentucky · Sat 7 Nov, 3 PM ETProjected 64-75 · Game page
Makes the tournament23%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.7
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 18-14
Net rating−10.7Rank 236 of 363 · offence 265, defence 210
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 18-14 (13 to 24 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 12-4
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 27%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 23%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.7
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field23%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Clemsonrank 54 | Away | 2% | 64-91 | L 47-68 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | vs Bluefieldnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 128-24 | |
| Sat 7 Nov3 PM ET | at Eastern Kentuckyrank 182 | Away | 20% | 64-75 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET | at Campbellrank 287 | Away | 46% | 60-62 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at Eastern KentuckyA win: 22% · a loss: 23%−1 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at CampbellA win: 22% · a loss: 23%−1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherish HaywoodG | 2 | 23.5 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Angelina NiceG | 2 | 22.0 | 18.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | −1.4 | +0.3 |
| Kailyn FieldsG · transfer from Kennesaw St | 2 | 21.5 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | −3.3 | −0.5 |
| Logan Luebbers PalmerG · transfer from Evansville | 2 | 21.0 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −4.3 | −0.8 |
| Georgia SimonsenF | 2 | 21.0 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | +1.3 | +1.3 |
| Cate CarlsonG | 2 | 19.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Jordin RichardsonG | 2 | 17.0 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | −2.6 | −0.1 |
| Kerri FluellenG | 2 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | −2.6 | −0.1 |
| Anaiah JenkinsF | 2 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −1.4 | +0.2 |
| Jada GreenF · transfer from Richmond | 2 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −0.4 | +0.3 |
| Ralee BareG | 2 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | −2.3 | 0.0 |
| Amanda MitchellF | 2 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | −3.7 | −0.1 |
| Anna ChachaF | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.5%rank 244 | 45.0%rank 243 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.0%rank 256 | 22.5%rank 324 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.9%rank 269 | 31.6%rank 36 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.6%rank 275 | 18.8%rank 45 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −0.9 points a game (they shot 29.6%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.8 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −11.5
- Last season's net rating
- −4.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 53%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.9
- Change since preseason
- +0.8
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 83.7 (rank 265)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 94.4 (rank 210)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.4 (rank 155)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +15.6 (rank 49)
Big South Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Point | 2-0 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 87.4 | 93.6 | 198 |
| 2 | Radford | 1-1 | 0-0 | −10.7 | 83.7 | 94.4 | 236 |
| 3 | Longwood | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.6 | 82.2 | 95.9 | 275 |
| 4 | South Carolina Upstate | 1-1 | 0-0 | −17.8 | 78.6 | 96.3 | 305 |
| 5 | Winthrop | 1-0 | 0-0 | −20.2 | 79.5 | 99.7 | 328 |
| 6 | Charleston Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.0 | 77.1 | 100.1 | 340 |
| 7 | Gardner-Webb | 0-0 | 0-0 | −23.2 | 77.9 | 101.1 | 341 |
| 8 | UNC Asheville | 1-0 | 0-0 | −26.7 | 74.4 | 101.1 | 351 |
| 9 | Presbyterian | 0-1 | 0-0 | −31.6 | 71.7 | 103.3 | 362 |