Winthrop Eagles
Makes the tournament5%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-19
Net rating−20.2Rank 328 of 363 · offence 318, defence 320
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-19 (8 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 5%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 5%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field5%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Newberrynot Division I | Home | — | — | W 57-46 | |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | at Georgiarank 45 | Away | 0% | 49-87 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov6 PM ET | vs Johnson C. Smithnot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bush-LewisG | 1 | 39.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −3.9 | −1.3 |
| Kyra TaylorF | 1 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | −3.7 | −0.9 |
| Madison RuffG | 1 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | −3.1 | −0.5 |
| Ryiah WilsonG | 1 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | −4.2 | −1.0 |
| Laura SilvaG | 1 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −3.6 | −0.6 |
| Marta GuileraF · transfer from New Mexico St | 1 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | −5.5 | −1.4 |
| Tocarra JohnsonF | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.3 |
| Summer HendersonG | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.1 | −0.1 |
| Kayla PrestonF · transfer from Valparaiso | 1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −6.9 | −0.6 |
| Ella WigalG · transfer from Akron | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −4.5 | −0.3 |
| Lucia SkvarekovaF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 137 | 44.7%rank 132 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.8%rank 144 | 23.8%rank 126 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.5%rank 137 | 33.5%rank 135 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.5%rank 127 | 20.5%rank 140 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −20.2
- Last season's net rating
- −15.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 34%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −3.9
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 79.4 (rank 318)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 99.6 (rank 320)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.4 (rank 67)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Big South Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Point | 2-0 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 87.3 | 93.5 | 198 |
| 2 | Radford | 1-1 | 0-0 | −10.7 | 83.6 | 94.3 | 236 |
| 3 | Longwood | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.6 | 82.2 | 95.8 | 275 |
| 4 | South Carolina Upstate | 1-1 | 0-0 | −17.8 | 78.5 | 96.3 | 305 |
| 5 | Winthrop | 1-0 | 0-0 | −20.2 | 79.4 | 99.6 | 328 |
| 6 | Charleston Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.0 | 77.0 | 100.0 | 340 |
| 7 | Gardner-Webb | 0-0 | 0-0 | −23.2 | 77.8 | 101.0 | 341 |
| 8 | UNC Asheville | 1-0 | 0-0 | −26.7 | 74.3 | 101.0 | 351 |
| 9 | Presbyterian | 0-1 | 0-0 | −31.7 | 71.6 | 103.3 | 362 |