High Point Panthers
Next: at Ball State · Sat 7 Nov, 1 PM ETProjected 62-80 · Game page
Makes the tournament42%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.3
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 23-10
Net rating−6.2Rank 198 of 363 · offence 206, defence 198
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 23-10 (17 to 29 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 13-3
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 58%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 42%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.3
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field42%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Lees McRaenot Division I | Home | — | — | W 88-39 | |
| Wed 4 Nov | vs Wingatenot Division I | Home | — | — | W 75-46 | |
| Sat 7 Nov1 PM ET | at Ball Staterank 88 | Away | 10% | 62-80 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | at East Carolinarank 167 | Away | 27% | 62-70 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at Ball StateA win: 43% · a loss: 42%+1 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at East CarolinaA win: 41% · a loss: 43%−2 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith TippnerG · transfer from Miami | 2 | 29.5 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | −1.4 | +0.4 |
| Brecken SnotherlyG | 2 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | −2.7 | −0.3 |
| Juliann WoodardF · transfer from Michigan St | 2 | 26.5 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 | +1.7 | +1.9 |
| Taylor FeldmanG · transfer from Purdue | 2 | 24.5 | 16.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | −1.4 | +0.4 |
| Rylee BessG · transfer from Purdue FW | 2 | 23.0 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | −1.5 | +0.3 |
| Peyton GerdesF | 2 | 21.5 | 11.0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | −0.8 | +0.5 |
| Khloe LemonG · transfer from CA Baptist | 2 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | −1.5 | +0.2 |
| Chana PaxixeG | 2 | 15.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | −0.6 | +0.4 |
| Dakota PhillipsG | 2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −4.6 | −0.2 |
| Gabby MorashG | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −3.1 | −0.1 |
| Sky DonaieF | 2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −4.5 | −0.1 |
| Sanai ColeG | 2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 137 | 44.7%rank 132 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.8%rank 144 | 23.8%rank 126 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.5%rank 137 | 33.5%rank 133 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.5%rank 127 | 20.5%rank 139 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −6.2
- Last season's net rating
- +2.6
- Last season's minutes returning
- 31%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +3.2
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 87.4 (rank 206)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 93.6 (rank 198)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.1 (rank 90)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Big South Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Point | 2-0 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 87.4 | 93.6 | 198 |
| 2 | Radford | 1-1 | 0-0 | −10.7 | 83.7 | 94.4 | 236 |
| 3 | Longwood | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.6 | 82.2 | 95.9 | 275 |
| 4 | South Carolina Upstate | 1-1 | 0-0 | −17.8 | 78.6 | 96.3 | 305 |
| 5 | Winthrop | 1-0 | 0-0 | −20.2 | 79.5 | 99.7 | 328 |
| 6 | Charleston Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.0 | 77.1 | 100.1 | 340 |
| 7 | Gardner-Webb | 0-0 | 0-0 | −23.2 | 77.9 | 101.1 | 341 |
| 8 | UNC Asheville | 1-0 | 0-0 | −26.7 | 74.4 | 101.1 | 351 |
| 9 | Presbyterian | 0-1 | 0-0 | −31.6 | 71.7 | 103.3 | 362 |