South Carolina Upstate Spartans
Next: vs Southern Wesleyan · Sat 7 Nov, 4 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament7%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 17-15
Net rating−17.9Rank 309 of 363 · offence 331, defence 258
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 17-15 (11 to 23 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 9-7
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 6%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 7%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field7%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Wake Forestrank 136 | Away | 2% | 61-89 | L 58-65 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | vs Johnsonnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 82-51 | |
| Sat 7 Nov4 PM ET | vs Southern Wesleyannot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | at South Carolina Staterank 363 | Away | 81% | 67-55 | — |
Rooting guide
- Tue 10 Nov: at South Carolina StateA win: 7% · a loss: 6%+1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace BoothG · transfer from Hou Christian | 2 | 27.0 | 11.5 | 13.5 | 1.0 | −0.6 | +0.8 |
| Aubrie KierschtG | 2 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | −3.5 | −0.6 |
| Emma BlairF | 2 | 20.5 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.5 |
| Kinley PatersonG | 2 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | −5.4 | −1.1 |
| Keira HudsonG · transfer from New Mexico St | 2 | 18.5 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | −3.2 | −0.3 |
| Vera SoderblomF | 2 | 17.5 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | −2.6 | −0.1 |
| Macy WikeG | 2 | 16.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | −6.1 | −1.2 |
| Zoe RichardsonF | 2 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | −5.0 | −0.8 |
| Lexi CastatorG | 2 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −5.5 | −0.9 |
| Madison MillerF | 2 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.2 | −0.4 |
| Haylie LamondeG | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | +0.2 |
| Izzy CallawayG · transfer from Akron | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Jessa TroyG | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −4.1 | −0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.6%rank 215 | 43.4%rank 63 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.3%rank 264 | 23.7%rank 224 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 35.0%rank 50 | 29.7%rank 5 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.1%rank 306 | 22.6%rank 319 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +1.7 points a game (they shot 26.1%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.6 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −22.6
- Last season's net rating
- −25.1
- Last season's minutes returning
- 59%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −4.9
- Change since preseason
- +4.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 78.1 (rank 331)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 96.0 (rank 258)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.0 (rank 287)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +0.6 (rank 128)
Big South Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Point | 2-0 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 87.3 | 93.5 | 195 |
| 2 | Radford | 1-1 | 0-0 | −11.1 | 83.2 | 94.3 | 242 |
| 3 | Longwood | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.6 | 82.2 | 95.8 | 272 |
| 4 | South Carolina Upstate | 1-1 | 0-0 | −17.9 | 78.1 | 96.0 | 309 |
| 5 | Winthrop | 1-1 | 0-0 | −21.4 | 77.4 | 98.7 | 335 |
| 6 | Charleston Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.1 | 77.0 | 100.1 | 342 |
| 7 | Gardner-Webb | 1-0 | 0-0 | −23.2 | 77.8 | 101.0 | 343 |
| 8 | UNC Asheville | 1-0 | 0-0 | −26.7 | 74.3 | 101.0 | 352 |
| 9 | Presbyterian | 0-2 | 0-0 | −31.4 | 73.2 | 104.6 | 359 |