South Carolina State Lady Bulldogs
Next: vs SC Upstate · Tue 10 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 55-67 · Game page
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 5-27
Net rating−36.9Rank 363 of 363 · offence 363, defence 362
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 5-27 (2 to 8 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 2-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 0%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Trinity College of Jacksonvillenot Division I | Home | — | — | W 112-42 | |
| Thu 5 Nov | vs Bethune-Cookmanrank 336 | Home | 54% | 62-61 | L 57-76 | Wrong |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | vs South Carolina Upstaterank 309 | Home | 19% | 55-67 | — |
Rooting guide
- Tue 10 Nov: vs South Carolina UpstateA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase ThomasG | 2 | 29.5 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | −6.5 | −2.4 |
| Monajah FordF | 2 | 24.5 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | −10.7 | −4.0 |
| Alexis MurphyG | 2 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | −6.2 | −1.5 |
| Trinity ButlerG | 2 | 18.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | −6.2 | −1.4 |
| Ja'dore HayesC | 2 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | −6.1 | −1.3 |
| Adena WebsterG · transfer from Monmouth | 1 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −6.5 | −2.9 |
| K'lya HankersonF | 2 | 12.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | −5.9 | −0.8 |
| Adena WebsterG | 1 | 24.0 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | −5.8 | −1.6 |
| Ariana SimmonsG | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −10.4 | −3.4 |
| Samiah PuckettC · transfer from Alabama St | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −8.3 | −2.0 |
| Mya GilesG | 2 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | −10.4 | −1.3 |
| Kimora SmithF | 2 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | −10.0 | −1.2 |
| Paula CarvalhoG | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −5.6 | −0.9 |
| K'leighonna GrableC | 1 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −5.6 | −0.8 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.1%rank 318 | 45.4%rank 257 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 26.5%rank 352 | 24.1%rank 119 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.6%rank 251 | 34.9%rank 305 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 21.4%rank 105 | 23.2%rank 335 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.6 expected (−0.6)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +1.7 points a game (they shot 26.7%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.2 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −31.2
- Last season's net rating
- −36.7
- Last season's minutes returning
- 48%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- −5.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 68.1 (rank 363)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 105.0 (rank 362)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 75.2 (rank 28)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −21.5 (rank 281)
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard | 0-1 | 0-0 | +2.2 | 93.1 | 90.9 | 119 |
| 2 | Norfolk State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −6.7 | 85.2 | 91.8 | 199 |
| 3 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.9 | 78.8 | 94.7 | 295 |
| 4 | Coppin State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −18.0 | 78.8 | 96.8 | 310 |
| 5 | North Carolina Central | 1-1 | 0-0 | −20.9 | 74.6 | 95.4 | 332 |
| 6 | Morgan State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −25.4 | 74.7 | 100.1 | 348 |
| 7 | Delaware State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −28.1 | 72.5 | 100.6 | 353 |
| 8 | South Carolina State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −36.9 | 68.1 | 105.0 | 363 |