Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
Makes the tournament7%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-18
Net rating−21.5Rank 336 of 363 · offence 346, defence 292
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-18 (10 to 22 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 9-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 6%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 7%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field7%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Florida Memorialnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 102-30 | |
| Thu 5 Nov | at South Carolina Staterank 363 | Away | 46% | 61-62 | W 76-57 | Wrong |
| Mon 9 Nov9 PM ET | at Utahrank 79 | Away | 1% | 49-80 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov1 PM ET | at BYUrank 39 | Away | 0% | 44-84 | — |
Rooting guide
- Mon 9 Nov: at UtahA win: 10% · a loss: 7%+3 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiyah FergusonPG · transfer from Tennessee St | 2 | 23.5 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −6.5 | −1.9 |
| Jarahle DanielsG · transfer from Little Rock | 2 | 23.0 | 16.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | −3.0 | −0.4 |
| Alannah NerockerF | 2 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −3.6 | −0.6 |
| Akilah SheltonF · transfer from Hampton | 2 | 20.5 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | −4.3 | −0.8 |
| Tahjae HawesG | 2 | 18.0 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −3.5 | −0.5 |
| Kayla LeePG | 2 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | −3.4 | −0.4 |
| Kiera NealG | 2 | 16.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −3.5 | −0.4 |
| Keiara GregoryG | 2 | 14.0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −7.0 | −1.2 |
| Mya JohnsonF | 2 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −6.4 | −0.8 |
| Tyra BrownF | 2 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | −3.1 | −0.1 |
| Mayla HamG | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | −3.0 | −0.2 |
| Jazmin ThorntonF | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.8 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 45.4%rank 90 | 43.1%rank 46 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.1%rank 250 | 26.5%rank 16 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.9%rank 60 | 32.6%rank 107 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 23.2%rank 26 | 21.4%rank 258 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.5 expected (+0.6)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −0.9 points a game (they shot 33.3%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.7 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −27.2
- Last season's net rating
- −26.6
- Last season's minutes returning
- 10%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −3.4
- Change since preseason
- +5.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 76.2 (rank 346)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 97.6 (rank 292)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.0 (rank 179)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −36.9 (rank 300)
Southwestern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.0 | 80.3 | 93.4 | 269 |
| 2 | Alabama A&M | 0-2 | 0-0 | −16.3 | 80.8 | 97.1 | 297 |
| 3 | Grambling | 0-2 | 0-0 | −16.3 | 76.8 | 93.2 | 297 |
| 4 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 0-2 | 0-0 | −19.5 | 79.4 | 98.9 | 323 |
| 5 | Bethune-Cookman | 2-0 | 0-0 | −21.5 | 76.2 | 97.6 | 336 |
| 6 | Alcorn State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.1 | 76.3 | 98.4 | 339 |
| 7 | Florida A&M | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.6 | 77.5 | 100.2 | 341 |
| 8 | Jackson State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −24.6 | 78.2 | 102.9 | 345 |
| 9 | Alabama State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −26.5 | 75.3 | 101.8 | 351 |
| 10 | Mississippi Valley State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −28.6 | 72.7 | 101.3 | 354 |
| 11 | Prairie View A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −31.4 | 71.9 | 103.3 | 360 |
| 12 | Texas Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −33.0 | 71.3 | 104.3 | 361 |