Texas Southern Tigers
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 5-27
Net rating−33.0Rank 361 of 363 · offence 361, defence 359
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 5-27 (2 to 10 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 4-13
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAvion WilsonG · transfer from New Mexico St | 1 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −8.3 | −3.1 |
| Grace StricklandG | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −5.8 | −1.8 |
| Jayla CorneliusG · transfer from AR-Pine Bluff | 1 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −8.7 | −3.1 |
| Marianah AcholF · transfer from Troy | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −4.6 | −0.8 |
| Daniela VallecillaF | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −5.6 | −1.1 |
| Bailey BurnsG · transfer from Jacksonville | 1 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.4 | −1.0 |
| Jada LandersF | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −5.5 | −0.9 |
| Mame KaneC · transfer from Kennesaw St | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −7.5 | −1.3 |
| Michaela BogansG · transfer from Morgan St | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −8.0 | −1.4 |
| Dejah MorrisG | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.4 | −0.7 |
| Kaitlyn AdamsF · transfer from Delaware St | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −7.0 | −1.0 |
| Sydney PettisF | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.3 | −0.4 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 41.9%rank 352 | 44.9%rank 216 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.5%rank 278 | 22.7%rank 311 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.2%rank 277 | 33.0%rank 132 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.9%rank 134 | 21.2%rank 246 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −1.3 points a game (they shot 30.4%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −26.1
- Last season's net rating
- −22.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 0%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −5.3
- Change since preseason
- −6.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 71.3 (rank 361)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 104.3 (rank 359)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 75.4 (rank 18)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +2.8 (rank 111)
Southwestern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.0 | 80.3 | 93.4 | 269 |
| 2 | Alabama A&M | 0-2 | 0-0 | −16.3 | 80.8 | 97.1 | 297 |
| 3 | Grambling | 0-2 | 0-0 | −16.3 | 76.8 | 93.2 | 297 |
| 4 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 0-2 | 0-0 | −19.5 | 79.4 | 98.9 | 323 |
| 5 | Bethune-Cookman | 2-0 | 0-0 | −21.5 | 76.2 | 97.6 | 336 |
| 6 | Alcorn State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.1 | 76.3 | 98.4 | 339 |
| 7 | Florida A&M | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.6 | 77.5 | 100.2 | 341 |
| 8 | Jackson State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −24.6 | 78.2 | 102.9 | 345 |
| 9 | Alabama State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −26.5 | 75.3 | 101.8 | 351 |
| 10 | Mississippi Valley State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −28.6 | 72.7 | 101.3 | 354 |
| 11 | Prairie View A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −31.4 | 71.9 | 103.3 | 360 |
| 12 | Texas Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −33.0 | 71.3 | 104.3 | 361 |