Mississippi Valley State Devilettes
Next: at Southern Miss · Mon 9 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 52-80 · Game page
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 16.0
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 8-24
Net rating−28.6Rank 354 of 363 · offence 356, defence 343
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 8-24 (3 to 14 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 16.0
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Marquetterank 92 | Away | 0% | 49-87 | L 42-80 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov | at Chicago Staterank 338 | Away | 27% | 65-73 | L 62-83 | Right |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | at Southern Missrank 175 | Away | 2% | 52-80 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | at Lipscombrank 299 | Away | 11% | 60-75 | — |
Rooting guide
- Mon 9 Nov: at Southern MissA win: 0% · a loss: 1%−1 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: at LipscombA win: <1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryana BlockG · transfer from Sam Houston | 2 | 34.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | −5.6 | −2.3 |
| Sydnei MarshallG | 2 | 33.5 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | −6.1 | −2.5 |
| I'Xana WintersG | 2 | 27.5 | 15.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −3.9 | −0.9 |
| Ja'la DouglasG | 2 | 20.5 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | −7.3 | −2.0 |
| Mariah Reed-JonesG · transfer from Jackson St | 2 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | −6.9 | −1.8 |
| Ka'Mbili NelsonF | 2 | 16.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | −3.6 | −0.5 |
| Joyce MulumbaC · transfer from W Carolina | 2 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | −7.0 | −1.5 |
| Keanna CoburnC | 1 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −8.4 | −2.6 |
| Te'Lynn Lee-RoseF | 1 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | −3.3 | −0.5 |
| Kailen ParksG | 2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.1 |
| Taylor CrawfordG | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −7.9 | −0.6 |
| Aaliyah TaylorG | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −8.6 | −0.2 |
| Courtney BluittG | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.7 | 0.0 |
| Jamie HunterG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.7 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 41.0%rank 361 | 45.1%rank 235 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.5%rank 121 | 25.2%rank 44 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 31.8%rank 298 | 34.8%rank 299 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 23.1%rank 28 | 22.1%rank 299 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.3 expected (−0.3)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −7.1 points a game (they shot 36.8%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −3.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −27.9
- Last season's net rating
- −28.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 29%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.4
- Change since preseason
- −0.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 72.7 (rank 356)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 101.3 (rank 343)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 76.5 (rank 8)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −7.5 (rank 197)
Southwestern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.0 | 80.3 | 93.4 | 269 |
| 2 | Alabama A&M | 0-2 | 0-0 | −16.3 | 80.8 | 97.1 | 297 |
| 3 | Grambling | 0-2 | 0-0 | −16.3 | 76.8 | 93.2 | 297 |
| 4 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 0-2 | 0-0 | −19.5 | 79.4 | 98.9 | 323 |
| 5 | Bethune-Cookman | 2-0 | 0-0 | −21.5 | 76.2 | 97.6 | 336 |
| 6 | Alcorn State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.1 | 76.3 | 98.4 | 339 |
| 7 | Florida A&M | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.6 | 77.5 | 100.2 | 341 |
| 8 | Jackson State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −24.6 | 78.2 | 102.9 | 345 |
| 9 | Alabama State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −26.5 | 75.3 | 101.8 | 351 |
| 10 | Mississippi Valley State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −28.6 | 72.7 | 101.3 | 354 |
| 11 | Prairie View A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −31.4 | 71.9 | 103.3 | 360 |
| 12 | Texas Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −33.0 | 71.3 | 104.3 | 361 |