Lipscomb Bisons
Makes the tournament6%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-16
Net rating−11.5Rank 246 of 363 · offence 239, defence 268
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-16 (8 to 19 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-7
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 5%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 6%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field6%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Vanderbiltrank 6 | Away | 0% | 62-105 | L 53-112 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov6:30 PM ET | at Butlerrank 77 | Away | 4% | 58-81 | Live | |
| Sat 7 Nov2:30 PM ET | vs Carolina Universitynot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | vs Mississippi Valley Staterank 352 | Home | 92% | 76-57 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at ButlerA win: 9% · a loss: 6%+3 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs Mississippi Valley StateA win: 6% · a loss: 6%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKayla MillerG | 1 | 28.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −1.3 | +0.4 |
| Tess WiczekG | 1 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Taliah LeeG | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Elena BertrandG | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | −2.8 | −0.2 |
| Hannah RichardsonG | 1 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.3 |
| Hope CountsG | 1 | 21.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Lexi PrimusG | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Presly SamzG | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Mia SmithG | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Kennedy SprouleG · transfer from Valparaiso | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −6.6 | −0.4 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.4%rank 255 | 48.0%rank 359 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 25.3%rank 334 | 22.5%rank 327 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.1%rank 96 | 33.8%rank 248 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.9%rank 251 | 20.0%rank 118 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −6.0 points a game (they shot 38.1%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.4 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −9.3
- Last season's net rating
- −11.3
- Last season's minutes returning
- 67%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.4
- Change since preseason
- −2.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 85.1 (rank 239)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 96.6 (rank 268)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.7 (rank 123)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +36.8 (rank 4)
Atlantic Sun Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida Gulf Coast | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.6 | 89.6 | 89.0 | 137 |
| 2 | Jacksonville | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.6 | 89.5 | 90.1 | 146 |
| 3 | North Florida | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.2 | 87.4 | 96.6 | 223 |
| 4 | Lipscomb | 0-1 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 85.1 | 96.6 | 246 |
| 5 | Stetson | 1-1 | 0-0 | −11.6 | 83.1 | 94.8 | 249 |
| 6 | West Florida | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.4 | 84.2 | 100.6 | 296 |
| 7 | Queens University | 0-2 | 0-0 | −19.2 | 76.7 | 96.0 | 318 |
| 8 | Bellarmine | 0-1 | 0-0 | −24.3 | 79.8 | 104.0 | 343 |