Queens University Royals
Next: vs Carolina University · Mon 9 Nov, 7 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-19
Net rating−18.9Rank 320 of 363 · offence 342, defence 246
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-19 (7 to 18 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Alabamarank 26 | Away | 0% | 58-100 | L 56-92 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | at Vanderbiltrank 7 | Away | 0% | 44-100 | L 42-100 | Right |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | vs Carolina Universitynot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makayla MinshallG · transfer from UC Riverside | 2 | 28.5 | 12.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | −5.9 | −2.0 |
| Ashantay NobleG | 2 | 25.5 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | −3.8 | −0.8 |
| Ryan DavisF | 2 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −3.9 | −0.7 |
| Ahmani KlabundeG | 2 | 21.5 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | −3.8 | −0.6 |
| Brenae Jones-GrantF | 2 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | +0.1 |
| Mia MooreG | 2 | 18.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.5 |
| Nykira ArringtonF | 2 | 14.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | −3.3 | −0.3 |
| Breah FranksC | 2 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | −5.1 | −0.6 |
| Paulina ReichenaurG | 2 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | −3.1 | −0.2 |
| Anisa AkinolaG | 2 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −3.0 | −0.1 |
| Shadeh PrestonF | 2 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.1 |
| Cianna PapineauG | 2 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.1 |
| Shira ShaniPG | 2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.8%rank 269 | 46.3%rank 321 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 25.6%rank 329 | 24.0%rank 128 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 31.1%rank 329 | 33.7%rank 236 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.0%rank 254 | 20.2%rank 125 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −7.1 points a game (they shot 38.0%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +2.9 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −21.3
- Last season's net rating
- −21.6
- Last season's minutes returning
- 20%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.6
- Change since preseason
- +2.4
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 76.8 (rank 342)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 95.7 (rank 246)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.4 (rank 62)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +30.4 (rank 15)
Atlantic Sun Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida Gulf Coast | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.5 | 89.5 | 89.0 | 139 |
| 2 | Jacksonville | 1-1 | 0-0 | +0.4 | 91.9 | 91.5 | 141 |
| 3 | North Florida | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.4 | 87.1 | 96.4 | 228 |
| 4 | Stetson | 1-1 | 0-0 | −11.7 | 83.0 | 94.7 | 248 |
| 5 | Lipscomb | 0-2 | 0-0 | −16.4 | 83.2 | 99.6 | 299 |
| 6 | Queens University | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.9 | 76.8 | 95.7 | 320 |
| 7 | West Florida | 0-2 | 0-0 | −20.1 | 83.8 | 103.8 | 329 |
| 8 | Bellarmine | 1-1 | 0-0 | −24.3 | 79.7 | 104.0 | 344 |