Bellarmine Knights
Next: vs Simmons (KY) · Thu 5 Nov, 6:30 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 7-24
Net rating−24.2Rank 343 of 363 · offence 316, defence 357
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 7-24 (4 to 11 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 3-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Louisvillerank 8 | Away | 0% | 52-110 | L 47-119 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov6:30 PM ET | vs Simmons (KY)not Division I | Home | — | — | Live | |
| Sun 8 Nov1 PM ET | at Miami (OH)rank 80 | Away | 1% | 48-81 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov11 AM ET | at Bowling Greenrank 148 | Away | 3% | 56-81 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sun 8 Nov: at Miami (OH)A win: 1% · a loss: <1%+1 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: at Bowling GreenA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayce HymanF | 1 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −8.8 | −3.2 |
| Hana Abdel AalC | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.6 |
| Coumba KeitaG · transfer from AR-Pine Bluff | 1 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | −7.2 | −2.1 |
| Leigha AcoffG | 1 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −3.5 | −0.5 |
| Tacko SyC | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −3.5 | −0.5 |
| Savannah RowlandG | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.5 | −0.5 |
| Kaylyn LelieG | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −3.5 | −0.4 |
| Triniti RalstonG | 1 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −4.0 | −0.6 |
| Anna RodgersG | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −3.3 | −0.3 |
| Haya Abdel AalC | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −7.6 | −1.1 |
| Emma HoltzapfelG | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.2 | −0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.6%rank 289 | 47.2%rank 354 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 26.3%rank 352 | 21.3%rank 359 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.3%rank 89 | 33.8%rank 239 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 21.6%rank 61 | 19.2%rank 73 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −8.8 points a game (they shot 37.5%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +2.6 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −26.5
- Last season's net rating
- −40.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 35%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- +2.3
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 79.6 (rank 316)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 103.8 (rank 357)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.0 (rank 85)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +35.8 (rank 6)
Atlantic Sun Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida Gulf Coast | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.6 | 89.4 | 88.8 | 136 |
| 2 | Jacksonville | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.6 | 89.4 | 90.0 | 146 |
| 3 | North Florida | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 87.0 | 96.3 | 227 |
| 4 | Lipscomb | 0-1 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 84.9 | 96.4 | 248 |
| 5 | Stetson | 1-1 | 0-0 | −11.6 | 83.0 | 94.6 | 251 |
| 6 | Queens University | 0-2 | 0-0 | −19.2 | 76.6 | 95.8 | 320 |
| 7 | West Florida | 0-2 | 0-0 | −20.2 | 83.8 | 104.0 | 331 |
| 8 | Bellarmine | 0-1 | 0-0 | −24.2 | 79.6 | 103.8 | 343 |