Florida A&M Rattlers
Next: at Florida St · Sun 8 Nov, 2 PM ETProjected 52-87 · Game page
Makes the tournament5%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-18
Net rating−22.6Rank 341 of 363 · offence 334, defence 332
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 15-18 (10 to 21 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 9-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 4%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 5%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field5%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at UCFrank 161 | Away | 5% | 55-79 | L 56-85 | Right |
| Sun 8 Nov2 PM ET | at Florida Staterank 69 | Away | 0% | 52-87 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov11 AM ET | vs Albany Statenot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahnyjia PurifoyPG | 1 | 35.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | −4.8 | −1.7 |
| Kamryn GrantG · transfer from Dayton | 1 | 30.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −4.1 | −1.1 |
| Niah RhodesG | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −6.3 | −1.9 |
| Persais WilliamsG · transfer from Winthrop | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −5.7 | −1.4 |
| Shaniyah McCarthyG | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −4.5 | −0.8 |
| Lisa SimsG | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −3.2 | −0.3 |
| Dijona BerrienF | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −3.2 | −0.3 |
| Miya Giles-JonesG | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −4.6 | −0.6 |
| Kristen JohnsonG | 1 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.2 |
| Brooklyn SwannG | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −5.0 | −0.3 |
| Breasia CoitC | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −2.8 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 42.9%rank 331 | 45.8%rank 293 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.7%rank 148 | 25.0%rank 56 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.0%rank 289 | 34.6%rank 292 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 23.2%rank 25 | 20.8%rank 219 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −7.3 points a game (they shot 39.1%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +3.7 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −21.0
- Last season's net rating
- −24.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 68%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −3.8
- Change since preseason
- −1.6
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 77.5 (rank 334)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 100.2 (rank 332)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.0 (rank 90)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −2.1 (rank 152)
Southwestern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.0 | 80.3 | 93.4 | 269 |
| 2 | Alabama A&M | 0-2 | 0-0 | −16.3 | 80.8 | 97.1 | 297 |
| 3 | Grambling | 0-2 | 0-0 | −16.3 | 76.8 | 93.2 | 297 |
| 4 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 0-2 | 0-0 | −19.5 | 79.4 | 98.9 | 323 |
| 5 | Bethune-Cookman | 2-0 | 0-0 | −21.5 | 76.2 | 97.6 | 336 |
| 6 | Alcorn State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.1 | 76.3 | 98.4 | 339 |
| 7 | Florida A&M | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.6 | 77.5 | 100.2 | 341 |
| 8 | Jackson State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −24.6 | 78.2 | 102.9 | 345 |
| 9 | Alabama State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −26.5 | 75.3 | 101.8 | 351 |
| 10 | Mississippi Valley State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −28.6 | 72.7 | 101.3 | 354 |
| 11 | Prairie View A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −31.4 | 71.9 | 103.3 | 360 |
| 12 | Texas Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −33.0 | 71.3 | 104.3 | 361 |