Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Next: vs Arkansas Baptist · Mon 9 Nov, 5:30 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament10%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-17
Net rating−19.5Rank 323 of 363 · offence 320, defence 310
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 15-17 (9 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 10-6
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 10%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 10%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field10%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Texas A&Mrank 78 | Away | 1% | 63-95 | L 54-77 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | at Tarleton Staterank 226 | Away | 21% | 60-71 | L 47-66 | Right |
| Mon 9 Nov5:30 PM ET | vs Arkansas Baptistnot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7:30 PM ET | at Arkansasrank 81 | Away | 1% | 53-84 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 12 Nov: at ArkansasA win: 11% · a loss: 10%+1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiya BowenG | 2 | 32.5 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −3.6 | −0.9 |
| Jasmine DavisG | 2 | 29.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | −5.3 | −1.7 |
| Yasmyn PalmerC · transfer from Loyola Chicago | 2 | 28.5 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | −3.4 | −0.7 |
| Tyra TaylorF | 2 | 28.5 | 8.0 | 9.5 | 0.5 | −5.2 | −1.6 |
| Jailah PellyG | 2 | 27.0 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Jakyra JacksonG | 1 | 31.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | −3.2 | −0.6 |
| Ruth BanjokoF | 2 | 14.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | −5.5 | −0.9 |
| Parc LigginsG | 2 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Malanie FrancisC | 2 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Jada JamesG | 2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −6.0 | −0.4 |
| Sanai BranchG | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.4 | 0.0 |
| Taylor BallewG | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.4 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.0%rank 323 | 44.9%rank 219 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.7%rank 145 | 25.1%rank 48 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.4%rank 261 | 34.5%rank 290 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 21.4%rank 103 | 19.9%rank 105 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.2 expected (−0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −3.2 points a game (they shot 34.2%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −20.5
- Last season's net rating
- −22.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 77%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- +0.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 79.4 (rank 320)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 98.9 (rank 310)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.0 (rank 179)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +0.3 (rank 133)
Southwestern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.0 | 80.3 | 93.4 | 269 |
| 2 | Alabama A&M | 0-2 | 0-0 | −16.3 | 80.8 | 97.1 | 297 |
| 3 | Grambling | 0-2 | 0-0 | −16.3 | 76.8 | 93.2 | 297 |
| 4 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 0-2 | 0-0 | −19.5 | 79.4 | 98.9 | 323 |
| 5 | Bethune-Cookman | 2-0 | 0-0 | −21.5 | 76.2 | 97.6 | 336 |
| 6 | Alcorn State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.1 | 76.3 | 98.4 | 339 |
| 7 | Florida A&M | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.6 | 77.5 | 100.2 | 341 |
| 8 | Jackson State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −24.6 | 78.2 | 102.9 | 345 |
| 9 | Alabama State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −26.5 | 75.3 | 101.8 | 351 |
| 10 | Mississippi Valley State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −28.6 | 72.7 | 101.3 | 354 |
| 11 | Prairie View A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −31.4 | 71.9 | 103.3 | 360 |
| 12 | Texas Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −33.0 | 71.3 | 104.3 | 361 |