Jackson State Lady Tigers
Next: vs Mississippi U for Women · Mon 9 Nov, 7 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 11-19
Net rating−24.5Rank 344 of 363 · offence 329, defence 353
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 11-19 (6 to 15 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 2%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 3%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field3%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Arizona Staterank 34 | Away | 0% | 56-97 | L 41-84 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | at Grand Canyonrank 132 | Away | 2% | 50-79 | L 55-77 | Right |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | vs Mississippi U for Womennot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | at Southern Missrank 208 | Away | 8% | 57-76 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 12 Nov: at Southern MissA win: 3% · a loss: 3%−1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy GladneyG | 2 | 26.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | −4.8 | −1.2 |
| Ne'Vaeh BuntleyF | 2 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | −4.4 | −1.0 |
| Camryn O'NeilG | 2 | 23.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | −9.0 | −2.9 |
| Taler ThorntonG | 2 | 23.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | −4.6 | −1.0 |
| Rhianna BattlesG | 2 | 21.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | −4.5 | −0.9 |
| Joi JohnsonF · transfer from FDU | 2 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Madison EddingsC | 2 | 18.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −4.2 | −0.7 |
| Laila GrantF | 2 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | −5.8 | −0.8 |
| Selina GutierrezG · transfer from Morgan St | 2 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −6.3 | −0.7 |
| Justine TcheuhchouaG | 2 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | −3.7 | −0.2 |
| Sierra TuliauG | 2 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.2 |
| Valajah JacksonC | 2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 42.8%rank 340 | 45.4%rank 279 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 21.7%rank 8 | 23.1%rank 294 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.6%rank 283 | 36.8%rank 358 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.8%rank 106 | 19.3%rank 75 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −5.0 points a game (they shot 34.5%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.8 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −23.6
- Last season's net rating
- −19.7
- Last season's minutes returning
- 24%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −7.0
- Change since preseason
- −0.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 78.3 (rank 329)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 102.8 (rank 353)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.6 (rank 330)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +11.4 (rank 71)
Southwestern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama A&M | 0-1 | 0-0 | −11.8 | 82.5 | 94.4 | 252 |
| 2 | Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.0 | 80.4 | 93.4 | 267 |
| 3 | Grambling | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.4 | 77.2 | 96.5 | 320 |
| 4 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 0-2 | 0-0 | −19.4 | 79.5 | 98.9 | 322 |
| 5 | Alcorn State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −21.3 | 76.5 | 97.8 | 334 |
| 6 | Florida A&M | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.5 | 77.6 | 100.2 | 339 |
| 7 | Jackson State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −24.5 | 78.3 | 102.8 | 344 |
| 8 | Alabama State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −25.5 | 75.2 | 100.8 | 349 |
| 9 | Mississippi Valley State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −27.0 | 73.3 | 100.2 | 352 |
| 10 | Bethune-Cookman | 1-0 | 0-0 | −27.2 | 73.9 | 101.1 | 353 |
| 11 | Prairie View A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −31.4 | 72.0 | 103.4 | 361 |
| 12 | Texas Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −33.0 | 71.4 | 104.4 | 363 |