Southern Miss Lady Eagles
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.3
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-17
Net rating−7.7Rank 208 of 363 · offence 187, defence 253
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-17 (8 to 21 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.3
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Mississippi Christiannot Division I | Home | — | — | W 85-59 | |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | at Auburnrank 59 | Away | 4% | 54-79 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | vs Mississippi Valley Staterank 352 | Home | 95% | 79-57 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | vs Jackson Staterank 344 | Home | 92% | 76-57 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at AuburnA win: 2% · a loss: 1%+1 pts
- Mon 9 Nov: vs Mississippi Valley StateA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs Jackson StateA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy LanghamG · transfer from Butler | 1 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | −1.3 | +0.4 |
| Hayleigh BrelandG | 1 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −1.5 | +0.3 |
| Ramiah AugursonG | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −3.4 | −0.5 |
| Mariah ClaytonF · transfer from Old Dominion | 1 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | −1.4 | +0.3 |
| Chrysta NarcisseG · transfer from South Alabama | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | −1.2 | +0.3 |
| Miriam PrinceG | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.7 | −0.5 |
| Jada GayF | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Kylie MarshallG · transfer from James Madison | 1 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | +0.9 | +0.8 |
| Whitney HartC | 1 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | +0.5 | +0.7 |
| Nakiyah AllenF · transfer from Old Dominion | 1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −0.1 | +0.3 |
| Meg BarbourF | 1 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Timya ThurmanC | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.3 | +0.1 |
| Bruna da SilvaNA | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 137 | 44.7%rank 132 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.8%rank 144 | 23.8%rank 126 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.5%rank 137 | 33.5%rank 135 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.5%rank 127 | 20.5%rank 140 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −7.7
- Last season's net rating
- −2.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 30%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +1.4
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 88.2 (rank 187)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 95.9 (rank 253)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.4 (rank 67)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Sun Belt Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Madison | 0-1 | 0-0 | +15.4 | 97.6 | 82.2 | 56 |
| 2 | Louisiana Tech | 2-0 | 0-0 | +6.3 | 94.4 | 88.1 | 94 |
| 3 | Troy | 1-0 | 0-0 | +3.7 | 94.9 | 91.2 | 109 |
| 4 | Coastal Carolina | 2-0 | 0-0 | +2.8 | 90.9 | 88.1 | 112 |
| 5 | Marshall | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.1 | 93.3 | 91.2 | 120 |
| 6 | Arkansas State | 0-1 | 0-0 | +1.4 | 91.5 | 90.1 | 128 |
| 7 | App State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −0.3 | 90.0 | 90.3 | 145 |
| 8 | Georgia Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −1.8 | 90.7 | 92.5 | 158 |
| 9 | Old Dominion | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.8 | 86.8 | 89.5 | 170 |
| 10 | Southern Miss | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.7 | 88.2 | 95.9 | 208 |
| 11 | South Alabama | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.1 | 87.9 | 96.9 | 220 |
| 12 | Georgia State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.8 | 89.3 | 99.1 | 229 |
| 13 | Louisiana | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.9 | 83.3 | 94.2 | 238 |
| 14 | UL Monroe | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.3 | 79.9 | 93.2 | 273 |