Georgia Southern Eagles
Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.5
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 18-15
Net rating−1.8Rank 155 of 363 · offence 149, defence 179
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 18-15 (11 to 24 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 2%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.5
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field3%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Bowling Greenrank 148 | Away | 59% | 81-78 | L 59-82 | Wrong |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | at Mercerrank 307 | Away | 74% | 70-61 | Live | |
| Mon 9 Nov6 PM ET | vs Savannah Statenot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at MercerA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markayla HollandG | 1 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.7 | +0.2 |
| Kayla CleavelandF | 1 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | +0.9 | +1.6 |
| Jailyn WilliamsF | 1 | 27.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.3 |
| Kyla BryantG | 1 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | +0.3 | +1.0 |
| Lia AndersonF | 1 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | +1.4 | +1.4 |
| Unique HortonF | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | −1.4 | +0.3 |
| Kyra PerkinsG · transfer from Austin Peay | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | +1.2 | +1.1 |
| Jamiria JonesF | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | +0.7 | +0.6 |
| Tamiria JonesG | 1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.1 | +0.2 |
| Kiyah LewisF · transfer from C Connecticut | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −3.3 | −0.2 |
| Nevaeh BrownG | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.3 | +0.1 |
| Kiara AndersonG | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.9 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 42.0%rank 352 | 46.0%rank 313 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 22.6%rank 42 | 26.1%rank 16 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 35.5%rank 36 | 32.8%rank 106 | 33.4% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 21.4%rank 76 | 21.5%rank 293 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.6 expected (−0.6)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −1.5 points a game (they shot 30.4%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.4 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +3.1
- Last season's net rating
- +12.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 40%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −5.4
- Change since preseason
- −4.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 90.6 (rank 149)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 92.3 (rank 179)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.9 (rank 196)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −1.0 (rank 132)
Sun Belt Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Madison | 1-1 | 0-0 | +17.0 | 98.4 | 81.4 | 48 |
| 2 | Louisiana Tech | 2-0 | 0-0 | +6.3 | 94.2 | 87.9 | 94 |
| 3 | Troy | 1-0 | 0-0 | +3.8 | 94.8 | 91.0 | 108 |
| 4 | Coastal Carolina | 2-0 | 0-0 | +2.9 | 90.8 | 87.9 | 112 |
| 5 | Marshall | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.1 | 93.2 | 91.0 | 120 |
| 6 | Arkansas State | 0-1 | 0-0 | +1.4 | 91.3 | 89.9 | 127 |
| 7 | App State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −0.3 | 89.8 | 90.1 | 143 |
| 8 | Georgia Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −1.8 | 90.6 | 92.3 | 155 |
| 9 | Old Dominion | 2-0 | 0-0 | −3.2 | 87.0 | 90.2 | 179 |
| 10 | Southern Miss | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.7 | 88.0 | 95.7 | 209 |
| 11 | South Alabama | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.0 | 87.7 | 96.7 | 222 |
| 12 | Georgia State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.7 | 89.1 | 98.9 | 230 |
| 13 | Louisiana | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.9 | 83.1 | 94.0 | 239 |
| 14 | UL Monroe | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.3 | 79.7 | 93.0 | 270 |