Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Women's · Sun Belt Conference · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: at Texas A&M · Thu 5 Nov, 9 PM ET

Louisiana5%95%Texas A&M

Projected 55-78 · Game page

Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-20

Net rating−10.9Rank 238 of 363 · offence 272, defence 208

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 12-20 (6 to 19 wins)
Projected conference record: 5-13
Wins or shares the conference title: <1%
Wins the conference tournament: <1%
Average seed if in the field: —
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field1%
Round of 32<1%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result
Tue 3 Nov	vs Xavier (LA)not Division I	Home	—	—	W 77-72
Thu 5 Nov9 PM ET	at Texas A&Mrank 78	Away	5%	55-78	—
Wed 11 Nov7:30 PM ET	at East Texas A&Mrank 260	Away	39%	63-67	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: <1% · the next 7 days

Thu 5 Nov: at Texas A&MA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Wed 11 Nov: at East Texas A&MA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Bailey TimmonsG	1	32.0	14.0	8.0	0.0	−1.9	+0.1
Aminata SoweF	1	30.0	4.0	6.0	3.0	−1.9	+0.1
Malaya JonesG	1	28.0	16.0	2.0	2.0	−1.8	+0.2
Imani DanielF	1	27.0	7.0	8.0	0.0	−1.4	+0.4
Amijah PriceG	1	22.0	6.0	3.0	2.0	−2.2	0.0
Arionna PattersonF	1	19.0	9.0	4.0	4.0	−3.8	−0.6
Jazmyne JacksonG	1	18.0	7.0	2.0	0.0	−4.1	−0.6
Kelis DansbyG	1	12.0	8.0	1.0	2.0	−1.4	+0.2
Mikaylah ManleyG	1	8.0	2.0	1.0	0.0	−1.5	+0.1
Kayllis WalkerC	1	4.0	4.0	2.0	0.0	−1.2	+0.1

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	44.7%rank 137	44.7%rank 132	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.8%rank 144	23.8%rank 126	23.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	33.5%rank 137	33.5%rank 133	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	20.5%rank 127	20.5%rank 139	20.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: 1-0

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −10.9
Last season's net rating: −19.9
Last season's minutes returning: 57%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: 0.0
Change since preseason: 0.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 83.4 (rank 272)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 94.3 (rank 208)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 74.0 (rank 99)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: —

Sun Belt Conference by rating

14 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	James Madison	0-1	0-0	+15.5	97.7	82.3	55
2	Louisiana Tech	2-0	0-0	+6.3	94.5	88.2	94
3	Troy	1-0	0-0	+3.7	95.0	91.2	108
4	Coastal Carolina	2-0	0-0	+2.9	91.0	88.2	112
5	Marshall	1-0	0-0	+2.1	93.4	91.3	120
6	Arkansas State	0-1	0-0	+1.4	91.6	90.2	127
7	App State	2-0	0-0	−0.3	90.1	90.4	144
8	Georgia Southern	0-1	0-0	−1.8	90.8	92.6	157
9	Old Dominion	1-0	0-0	−2.7	86.8	89.6	169
10	Southern Miss	1-0	0-0	−7.7	88.3	96.0	208
11	South Alabama	1-0	0-0	−9.0	88.0	97.0	220
12	Georgia State	0-1	0-0	−9.8	89.4	99.1	229
13	Louisiana	1-0	0-0	−10.9	83.4	94.3	238
14	UL Monroe	0-1	0-0	−13.3	80.0	93.3	273