Charleston Cougars

Women's · Coastal Athletic Association · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: vs Charleston So · Sat 7 Nov, 1 PM ET

Charleston So6%94%Charleston

Projected 75-53 · Game page

Makes the tournament18%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.6

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 20-13

Net rating−2.9Rank 171 of 363 · offence 172, defence 169

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 20-13 (13 to 26 wins)
Projected conference record: 12-6
Wins or shares the conference title: 24%
Wins the conference tournament: 18%
Average seed if in the field: 14.6
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field18%
Round of 32<1%
Sweet 16<1%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result
Mon 2 Nov	vs Berrynot Division I	Home	—	—	W 92-43
Sat 7 Nov1 PM ET	vs Charleston Southernrank 340	Home	94%	75-53	—
Tue 10 Nov10:30 PM ET	at USCrank 15	Away	1%	52-87	—
Thu 12 Nov2 PM ET	at Californiarank 32	Away	3%	54-80	—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 18% · the next 7 days

Sat 7 Nov: vs Charleston SouthernA win: 18% · a loss: 18%0 pts
Thu 12 Nov: at CaliforniaA win: 16% · a loss: 18%−2 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Janna VogelaarG	1	24.0	16.0	3.0	4.0	−0.8	+0.6
Chanel NdiF	1	23.0	4.0	2.0	1.0	−0.9	+0.5
Anilys RolonG	1	22.0	8.0	3.0	1.0	+1.1	+1.3
Abby JegedeG · transfer from Tulsa	1	21.0	11.0	3.0	1.0	0.0	+0.8
Isla JuffermansF	1	21.0	15.0	16.0	2.0	−0.8	+0.5
Mia JamesG · transfer from G Washington	1	21.0	7.0	0.0	4.0	−1.0	+0.5
Aubrey StevensonG	1	20.0	4.0	4.0	2.0	−1.4	+0.3
Dakara MerthieG	1	20.0	20.0	4.0	0.0	−0.7	+0.5
Camila De PoolG	1	15.0	1.0	5.0	2.0	−0.8	+0.4
Maggie SpellG	1	13.0	6.0	3.0	0.0	−0.6	+0.4

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	44.6%rank 139	44.6%rank 134	44.6%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.9%rank 151	23.9%rank 128	23.9%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	33.5%rank 140	33.5%rank 137	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	20.4%rank 137	20.4%rank 144	20.4%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −2.9
Last season's net rating: +9.7
Last season's minutes returning: 18%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: +0.1
Change since preseason: 0.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 89.2 (rank 172)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 92.1 (rank 169)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 73.3 (rank 145)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: —

Coastal Athletic Association by rating

13 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Drexel	1-0	0-0	−0.5	91.7	92.2	144
2	Monmouth	1-0	0-0	−1.6	86.7	88.2	153
3	Charleston	1-0	0-0	−2.9	89.2	92.1	171
4	Elon	1-0	0-0	−5.9	87.2	93.2	193
5	William & Mary	1-0	0-0	−6.7	86.1	92.8	201
6	Towson	0-2	0-0	−7.0	87.7	94.7	202
7	North Carolina A&T	1-0	0-0	−10.0	83.9	93.9	232
8	Stony Brook	2-0	0-0	−11.8	86.4	98.2	253
9	Hampton	0-2	0-0	−12.9	83.7	96.6	266
10	Hofstra	0-1	0-0	−13.3	82.8	96.1	273
11	Campbell	0-2	0-0	−14.8	80.6	95.5	287
12	Northeastern	0-1	0-0	−15.0	83.2	98.3	288
13	UNC Wilmington	1-0	0-0	−20.9	78.6	99.5	334