DePaul Blue Demons
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-21
Net rating−1.2Rank 150 of 363 · offence 106, defence 224
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-21 (8 to 18 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 4-16
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 0%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 0%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | vs Evansvillerank 316 | Home | 90% | 78-60 | W 90-65 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov12 PM ET | vs Purdue Fort Waynerank 228 | Home | 82% | 78-66 | — | |
| Sun 8 Nov3 PM ET | vs Stonehillrank 309 | Home | 93% | 80-61 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | vs Northern Illinoisrank 312 | Home | 93% | 78-59 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: vs Purdue Fort WayneA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: vs StonehillA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs Northern IllinoisA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate ClarkeG | 1 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | −1.2 | +0.5 |
| Louis VolkerF · transfer from George Mason | 1 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | +2.8 | +2.6 |
| Mikaia LitzaG | 1 | 27.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | −1.0 | +0.6 |
| Zoey WardF · transfer from Iona | 1 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | +0.1 | +1.1 |
| Ally TimmG | 1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −0.3 | +0.8 |
| Doyinsola LijirinF · transfer from Wagner | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | −0.6 | +0.6 |
| Gina DavorijaG | 1 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | −1.2 | +0.3 |
| Ofek TalkerNA | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | −0.8 | +0.3 |
| Nyah LoweryG · transfer from Pacific | 1 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.9 | +0.3 |
| Emily BojanG | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.5 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 45.7%rank 60 | 46.1%rank 317 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.7%rank 124 | 24.0%rank 118 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.6%rank 73 | 32.4%rank 73 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 21.5%rank 68 | 21.3%rank 278 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.9 expected (+0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −0.6 points a game (they shot 29.2%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.5 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −2.9
- Last season's net rating
- −3.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 33%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −4.7
- Change since preseason
- +1.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 93.4 (rank 106)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 94.6 (rank 224)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.1 (rank 79)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −18.7 (rank 240)
Big East Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UConn | 1-0 | 0-0 | +51.1 | 117.6 | 66.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Villanova | 0-1 | 0-0 | +19.2 | 106.5 | 87.3 | 38 |
| 3 | Creighton | 1-0 | 0-0 | +17.2 | 102.9 | 85.7 | 47 |
| 4 | St. John's | 1-0 | 0-0 | +16.4 | 99.8 | 83.3 | 52 |
| 5 | Seton Hall | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.2 | 92.7 | 82.5 | 76 |
| 6 | Butler | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.0 | 98.7 | 88.7 | 77 |
| 7 | Georgetown | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.4 | 94.4 | 87.0 | 91 |
| 8 | Marquette | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.3 | 92.6 | 85.3 | 92 |
| 9 | Providence | 1-0 | 0-0 | +3.7 | 93.1 | 89.4 | 109 |
| 10 | Xavier | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.8 | 91.2 | 92.0 | 147 |
| 11 | DePaul | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.2 | 93.4 | 94.6 | 150 |