Northern Illinois Huskies
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 10-22
Net rating−18.1Rank 313 of 363 · offence 291, defence 327
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 10-22 (5 to 16 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-14
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Indiana Staterank 292 | Home | 71% | 85-77 | W 76-71 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov7 PM ET | at Bradleyrank 155 | Away | 9% | 56-74 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | at DePaulrank 149 | Away | 8% | 59-78 | — |
Rooting guide
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilie SorensenG | 1 | 37.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −4.2 | −1.3 |
| Leah MiddletonG · transfer from Binghamton | 1 | 34.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | −3.5 | −0.8 |
| Laniah DavisG | 1 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −3.7 | −0.7 |
| Nevaeh WingateF | 1 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Ashlynn BrookeG · transfer from Ball State | 1 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Alecia DoyleG | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −3.7 | −0.6 |
| Sa'Mahn JohnsonG | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | −5.7 | −1.0 |
| Anna StrombergF · transfer from Radford | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −4.3 | −0.5 |
| Cyra ConwellG | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.9 | −0.3 |
| Komari BookerF | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.2 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 46.4%rank 46 | 44.9%rank 216 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 25.2%rank 311 | 23.9%rank 136 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.5%rank 256 | 36.4%rank 353 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.2%rank 237 | 19.3%rank 67 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.7 expected (+0.3)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +8.1 points a game (they shot 18.5%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.8 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 1-0
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.9
- Last season's net rating
- −18.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 46%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.3
- Change since preseason
- −3.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 81.8 (rank 291)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 100.0 (rank 327)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.1 (rank 277)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −15.5 (rank 249)
Horizon League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Bay | 0-1 | 0-0 | +9.0 | 96.3 | 87.3 | 84 |
| 2 | Cleveland State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −1.7 | 90.4 | 92.2 | 157 |
| 3 | Youngstown State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.0 | 88.4 | 90.4 | 160 |
| 4 | IU Indianapolis | 1-1 | 0-0 | −7.7 | 88.6 | 96.2 | 210 |
| 5 | Purdue Fort Wayne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.5 | 88.7 | 98.2 | 229 |
| 6 | Robert Morris | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.4 | 83.5 | 95.8 | 259 |
| 7 | Oakland | 1-1 | 0-0 | −12.7 | 86.2 | 98.9 | 264 |
| 8 | Detroit Mercy | 1-1 | 0-0 | −14.1 | 83.3 | 97.3 | 278 |
| 9 | Wright State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.2 | 86.5 | 100.7 | 281 |
| 10 | Northern Kentucky | 1-1 | 0-0 | −14.3 | 80.9 | 95.2 | 283 |
| 11 | Milwaukee | 0-2 | 0-0 | −14.5 | 85.3 | 99.8 | 285 |
| 12 | Northern Illinois | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.1 | 81.8 | 100.0 | 313 |