IU Indianapolis Jaguars
Next: at Indiana St · Tue 10 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 74-72 · Game page
Makes the tournament6%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.0
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 18-16
Net rating−6.9Rank 201 of 363 · offence 173, defence 261
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 18-16 (12 to 24 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 12-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 4%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 6%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.0
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field6%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Purduerank 100 | Away | 8% | 71-91 | L 73-81 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov | vs SIU Edwardsvillerank 234 | Home | 75% | 71-61 | W 70-69 | Right |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | at Indiana Staterank 289 | Away | 57% | 74-72 | — |
Rooting guide
- Tue 10 Nov: at Indiana StateA win: 6% · a loss: 6%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hailey SmithG | 2 | 29.5 | 12.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | +0.3 | +1.4 |
| Olivia SmithG | 2 | 28.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | −0.7 | +0.8 |
| Reagan SiplaG · transfer from Quinnipiac | 2 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | −0.8 | +0.7 |
| Destini CraigG | 2 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.7 |
| Olivia FlynnG · transfer from W Michigan | 2 | 22.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −2.8 | −0.3 |
| Julia HallG | 2 | 20.5 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| E'Zaria AdamsG | 2 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | −2.6 | −0.1 |
| Hailee BrennenF · transfer from LSU N Orleans | 2 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | −3.0 | −0.2 |
| Mylie WilkisonG | 2 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −0.9 | +0.2 |
| Ariana WilliamsF | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.2 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.3%rank 303 | 46.4%rank 333 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.7%rank 133 | 24.5%rank 86 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.0%rank 247 | 32.5%rank 86 | 33.4% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 27.4%rank 1 | 23.7%rank 350 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.8 expected (+0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +0.3 points a game (they shot 27.6%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 1-0
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −9.0
- Last season's net rating
- −10.1
- Last season's minutes returning
- 68%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.2
- Change since preseason
- +2.1
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 89.0 (rank 173)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 95.9 (rank 261)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.3 (rank 68)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −2.4 (rank 144)
Horizon League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Bay | 0-1 | 0-0 | +9.1 | 96.1 | 87.0 | 82 |
| 2 | Youngstown State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.0 | 88.2 | 90.1 | 158 |
| 3 | Cleveland State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.2 | 88.6 | 91.8 | 180 |
| 4 | IU Indianapolis | 1-1 | 0-0 | −6.9 | 89.0 | 95.9 | 201 |
| 5 | Purdue Fort Wayne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.6 | 88.4 | 98.0 | 228 |
| 6 | Oakland | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.7 | 87.9 | 97.5 | 229 |
| 7 | Robert Morris | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.5 | 83.2 | 95.7 | 262 |
| 8 | Milwaukee | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.8 | 85.0 | 97.8 | 263 |
| 9 | Detroit Mercy | 1-1 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 83.1 | 97.1 | 276 |
| 10 | Wright State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.1 | 86.4 | 100.5 | 279 |
| 11 | Northern Kentucky | 1-1 | 0-0 | −14.2 | 80.7 | 94.9 | 281 |
| 12 | Northern Illinois | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.2 | 81.6 | 99.8 | 313 |