Robert Morris Colonials
Next: vs Delaware St · Sun 8 Nov, 2 PM ETProjected 70-53 · Game page
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.6
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 13-20
Net rating−12.5Rank 262 of 363 · offence 267, defence 256
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 13-20 (7 to 19 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.6
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 5 Nov | vs UICrank 186 | Home | 57% | 64-62 | L 58-71 | Wrong |
| Sun 8 Nov2 PM ET | vs Delaware Staterank 354 | Home | 90% | 70-53 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET | vs Eastern Michiganrank 232 | Home | 58% | 66-64 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sun 8 Nov: vs Delaware StateA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs Eastern MichiganA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myriam TraoreF | 1 | 34.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | −1.9 | +0.2 |
| Page GreenburgG · transfer from George Mason | 1 | 28.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | +0.6 |
| Timberlynn YeastG · transfer from Marshall | 1 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −0.6 | +0.8 |
| Teigh YeastG | 1 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −4.2 | −1.0 |
| Ava LerouxC | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Meghan MurrayG · transfer from Kent State | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −4.3 | −0.8 |
| Mackenzie BlackfordG · transfer from Duquesne | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.3 |
| Sira DiarraC | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.4 |
| Mallory DalyG | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −4.4 | −0.3 |
| Maeva FotsaC · transfer from Austin Peay | 1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −4.1 | −0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.0%rank 273 | 47.2%rank 352 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 25.6%rank 343 | 22.7%rank 317 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.1%rank 309 | 35.0%rank 310 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 22.4%rank 31 | 21.8%rank 310 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.6 expected (−0.6)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −12.9 points a game (they shot 61.5%, league 28.4%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.6 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −9.5
- Last season's net rating
- −5.3
- Last season's minutes returning
- 36%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +1.1
- Change since preseason
- −3.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 83.5 (rank 267)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 96.0 (rank 256)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.0 (rank 307)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −4.3 (rank 156)
Horizon League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Bay | 0-1 | 0-0 | +9.0 | 96.3 | 87.2 | 84 |
| 2 | Youngstown State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.0 | 88.4 | 90.3 | 161 |
| 3 | Cleveland State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.3 | 88.7 | 92.0 | 181 |
| 4 | IU Indianapolis | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.9 | 88.9 | 94.8 | 195 |
| 5 | Purdue Fort Wayne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.6 | 88.6 | 98.2 | 227 |
| 6 | Oakland | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.7 | 88.1 | 97.7 | 228 |
| 7 | Northern Kentucky | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 85.4 | 96.8 | 243 |
| 8 | Robert Morris | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.5 | 83.5 | 96.0 | 262 |
| 9 | Milwaukee | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.8 | 85.2 | 98.0 | 264 |
| 10 | Detroit Mercy | 1-1 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 83.3 | 97.3 | 278 |
| 11 | Wright State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.2 | 86.5 | 100.7 | 281 |
| 12 | Northern Illinois | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.2 | 81.8 | 100.0 | 312 |