Eastern Michigan Eagles
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-20
Net rating−10.1Rank 232 of 363 · offence 217, defence 272
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-20 (7 to 18 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs App Staterank 144 | Home | 52% | 79-78 | L 62-74 | Wrong |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | at Purduerank 97 | Away | 8% | 61-79 | Live | |
| Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET | at Robert Morrisrank 263 | Away | 42% | 64-66 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at PurdueA win: 1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at Robert MorrisA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoe GuiceG | 1 | 39.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | −3.3 | −0.8 |
| Peyton HillF | 1 | 36.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | −0.1 | +1.3 |
| Fernanda OvalleF | 1 | 29.0 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −1.4 | +0.4 |
| Oliwia PelkaF | 1 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −2.7 | −0.3 |
| Ni'Rah ClarkC · transfer from Akron | 1 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Believe TshibanguF | 1 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | −1.7 | +0.2 |
| Anna HabraG | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.8 | −0.2 |
| Alli ZajacC | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.5 | −0.1 |
| Paula BaladaG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.7 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.2%rank 322 | 47.1%rank 347 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 25.3%rank 331 | 23.8%rank 123 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.9%rank 113 | 34.5%rank 289 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.7%rank 266 | 18.8%rank 47 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.5 expected (−0.5)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −9.9 points a game (they shot 45.0%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.4 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −7.4
- Last season's net rating
- −2.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 47%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.8
- Change since preseason
- −2.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 86.6 (rank 217)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 96.7 (rank 272)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.4 (rank 155)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −0.3 (rank 126)
Mid-American Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami (OH) | 2-0 | 0-0 | +9.2 | 91.8 | 82.6 | 81 |
| 2 | Ball State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.9 | 97.1 | 89.2 | 88 |
| 3 | Massachusetts | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.6 | 91.2 | 90.7 | 138 |
| 4 | Toledo | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.2 | 89.4 | 89.2 | 140 |
| 5 | Bowling Green | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.9 | 90.1 | 91.1 | 149 |
| 6 | Ohio | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.0 | 87.5 | 89.5 | 161 |
| 7 | Kent State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.1 | 91.3 | 94.4 | 176 |
| 8 | Central Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.4 | 86.3 | 91.7 | 192 |
| 9 | Eastern Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.1 | 86.6 | 96.7 | 232 |
| 10 | Buffalo | 1-0 | 0-0 | −12.2 | 86.8 | 99.0 | 255 |
| 11 | Western Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.3 | 81.4 | 93.7 | 257 |
| 12 | Akron | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.2 | 87.2 | 100.3 | 270 |