Kent State Golden Flashes
Next: at N Kentucky · Sat 7 Nov, 11 AM ETProjected 70-65 · Game page
Makes the tournament4%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.3
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-17
Net rating−3.0Rank 172 of 363 · offence 142, defence 215
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-17 (9 to 22 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 9-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 4%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 4%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.3
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field4%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Troyrank 106 | Home | 53% | 85-84 | L 78-89 | Wrong |
| Sat 7 Nov11 AM ET | at Northern Kentuckyrank 283 | Away | 65% | 70-65 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at Northern KentuckyA win: 4% · a loss: 4%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley RismillerC | 1 | 34.0 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | +0.6 | +1.7 |
| Sini LuukkonenG | 1 | 34.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −2.0 | +0.1 |
| Emory KlattF | 1 | 29.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | +3.6 | +3.1 |
| Corynne HauserG | 1 | 28.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | −0.5 | +0.9 |
| Talia HarrisG · transfer from Mercer | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −3.7 | −0.8 |
| Whitney StaffordG | 1 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −1.8 | +0.2 |
| Anna CampanelliG | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.4 |
| Maddie KiperG | 1 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −1.3 | +0.1 |
| Journey HildebrandG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.9 | +0.1 |
| Da'Nia McClainF · transfer from Robert Morris | 1 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.3%rank 308 | 47.0%rank 342 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 22.9%rank 62 | 22.9%rank 295 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 30.8%rank 339 | 33.1%rank 137 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 22.7%rank 41 | 21.1%rank 239 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.5 expected (−0.5)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −9.0 points a game (they shot 39.3%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.7 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −1.8
- Last season's net rating
- 0.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 45%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.8
- Change since preseason
- −1.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 91.3 (rank 142)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 94.3 (rank 215)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.4 (rank 62)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +3.7 (rank 106)
Mid-American Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami (OH) | 2-0 | 0-0 | +9.5 | 91.8 | 82.4 | 80 |
| 2 | Ball State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.9 | 97.1 | 89.2 | 87 |
| 3 | Massachusetts | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.6 | 91.2 | 90.6 | 134 |
| 4 | Toledo | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.3 | 89.4 | 89.2 | 143 |
| 5 | Ohio | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.9 | 87.5 | 89.5 | 159 |
| 6 | Kent State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.0 | 91.3 | 94.3 | 172 |
| 7 | Bowling Green | 2-0 | 0-0 | −3.3 | 90.2 | 93.5 | 179 |
| 8 | Eastern Michigan | 0-2 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 89.7 | 95.9 | 197 |
| 9 | Central Michigan | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.4 | 82.7 | 90.1 | 207 |
| 10 | Akron | 0-2 | 0-0 | −9.6 | 87.8 | 97.4 | 230 |
| 11 | Buffalo | 1-0 | 0-0 | −12.2 | 86.8 | 99.0 | 255 |
| 12 | Western Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.2 | 81.4 | 93.6 | 256 |