Western Michigan Broncos
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 9-21
Net rating−12.3Rank 259 of 363 · offence 296, defence 201
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 9-21 (4 to 15 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-13
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Coastal Carolinarank 112 | Home | 35% | 75-81 | L 54-68 | Right |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | vs Purdue Fort Waynerank 228 | Home | 58% | 67-64 | — |
Rooting guide
- Tue 10 Nov: vs Purdue Fort WayneA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailey StarksG | 1 | 36.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | −2.2 | −0.1 |
| Alli CarlsonG | 1 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | −2.6 | −0.3 |
| Casey VyvermanG | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.3 | −0.6 |
| Faith WisemanF · transfer from Indiana | 1 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | −1.7 | +0.2 |
| Zuri RansomG · transfer from Ball State | 1 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −1.2 | +0.3 |
| Alli HarnessG | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −3.7 | −0.6 |
| Emily Van TimmerenF · transfer from Miami OH | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Vanessa RodriguezG | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | −0.1 |
| Isabella MiljkovicF | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | −0.1 |
| Nile Muguira OrbeG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −4.1 | −0.1 |
| Kaylyn BuchanonG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | 0.0 |
| Morasha WigginsG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.0%rank 270 | 45.2%rank 266 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 25.2%rank 323 | 22.4%rank 334 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 29.2%rank 362 | 35.3%rank 327 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.0%rank 242 | 18.8%rank 44 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.3 expected (−0.3)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −5.2 points a game (they shot 40.0%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +5.5 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −10.4
- Last season's net rating
- −12.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 58%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.8
- Change since preseason
- −2.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 81.2 (rank 296)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 93.5 (rank 201)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.0 (rank 292)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +2.9 (rank 99)
Mid-American Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami (OH) | 2-0 | 0-0 | +9.5 | 91.7 | 82.3 | 80 |
| 2 | Ball State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.8 | 96.9 | 89.1 | 88 |
| 3 | Massachusetts | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.5 | 91.1 | 90.5 | 138 |
| 4 | Toledo | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.1 | 89.3 | 89.1 | 141 |
| 5 | Bowling Green | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.0 | 90.0 | 91.0 | 148 |
| 6 | Ohio | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.0 | 87.4 | 89.4 | 159 |
| 7 | Kent State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.1 | 91.2 | 94.3 | 174 |
| 8 | Central Michigan | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.4 | 82.6 | 90.0 | 207 |
| 9 | Eastern Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.1 | 86.5 | 96.6 | 233 |
| 10 | Buffalo | 1-0 | 0-0 | −12.2 | 86.7 | 98.9 | 256 |
| 11 | Western Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.3 | 81.2 | 93.5 | 259 |
| 12 | Akron | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.2 | 87.0 | 100.2 | 269 |