Akron Zips

Women's · Mid-American Conference · 0-2, 0-0 in conference · last L2

Next: at Xavier · Mon 9 Nov, 6:30 PM ET

Akron18%82%Xavier

Projected 63-75 · Game page

Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 10-22

Net rating−9.6Rank 230 of 363 · offence 191, defence 290

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 10-22 (5 to 17 wins)
Projected conference record: 6-12
Wins or shares the conference title: 1%
Wins the conference tournament: 1%
Average seed if in the field: —
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field1%
Round of 320%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Mon 2 Nov	vs South Alabamarank 212	Home	58%	83-80	L 74-75	Wrong
Thu 5 Nov	at George Masonrank 99	Away	4%	59-82	L 60-66	Right
Mon 9 Nov6:30 PM ET	at Xavierrank 148	Away	18%	63-75	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: 1% · the next 7 days

Mon 9 Nov: at XavierA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Tyla HeardG · transfer from Oklahoma St	2	32.0	9.0	5.5	2.5	−1.2	+0.6
Macey FeganF · transfer from Cleveland St	2	31.0	12.5	9.5	0.5	−0.1	+1.2
Shaena BrewG	2	28.5	11.5	4.0	4.0	−2.6	−0.2
Jessie JoaquimF · transfer from New Mexico	2	24.0	8.0	8.5	0.0	+1.1	+1.5
Teniesha ClarkeG	2	19.5	5.5	0.5	1.0	−6.2	−1.5
Kailee BransfordG	2	17.5	5.5	1.0	1.5	−2.9	−0.2
Monique MitchellG	2	16.0	7.0	1.5	0.0	−2.5	−0.1
Kaylah ThorntonG	2	13.5	5.0	1.5	0.5	−2.7	−0.1
Kaylee KingF	2	6.5	0.0	0.5	0.0	−2.3	0.0
Kam'Ren RhodesG	1	8.0	3.0	1.0	1.0	−5.2	−0.5
Annika ManthyF · transfer from Richmond	1	7.0	3.0	2.0	0.0	+0.1	+0.3
Corinne ReedG	2	3.5	0.0	0.5	0.0	−3.7	−0.1

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	43.7%rank 278	44.8%rank 212	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	22.8%rank 56	23.6%rank 236	23.9%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	31.4%rank 318	32.8%rank 120	33.3%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	22.9%rank 34	20.6%rank 143	20.8%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 0.0 won, 0.6 expected (−0.6)
Opponents' three-point shooting: +2.4 points a game (they shot 24.3%, league 28.6%)
Opponents' free throws: −0.4 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: 0-1

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

2 games played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −12.1
Last season's net rating: −14.6
Last season's minutes returning: 36%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: +1.9
Change since preseason: +2.5

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 87.8 (rank 191)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 97.4 (rank 290)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 74.6 (rank 52)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: −1.6 (rank 146)

Mid-American Conference by rating

12 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Miami (OH)	2-0	0-0	+9.5	91.8	82.4	80
2	Ball State	1-0	0-0	+7.9	97.1	89.2	87
3	Massachusetts	0-1	0-0	+0.6	91.2	90.6	134
4	Toledo	0-1	0-0	+0.3	89.4	89.2	143
5	Ohio	1-0	0-0	−1.9	87.5	89.5	159
6	Kent State	0-1	0-0	−3.0	91.3	94.3	172
7	Bowling Green	2-0	0-0	−3.3	90.2	93.5	179
8	Eastern Michigan	0-2	0-0	−6.2	89.7	95.9	197
9	Central Michigan	0-2	0-0	−7.4	82.7	90.1	207
10	Akron	0-2	0-0	−9.6	87.8	97.4	230
11	Buffalo	1-0	0-0	−12.2	86.8	99.0	255
12	Western Michigan	0-1	0-0	−12.2	81.4	93.6	256