Massachusetts Minutewomen
Next: at Providence · Sat 7 Nov, 1 PM ETProjected 63-71 · Game page
Makes the tournament9%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.2
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 18-15
Net rating+0.6Rank 138 of 363 · offence 143, defence 130
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 18-15 (12 to 24 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 11-7
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 9%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 9%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.2
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field9%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Marshallrank 120 | Home | 75% | 83-74 | L 70-74 | Wrong |
| Sat 7 Nov1 PM ET | at Providencerank 109 | Away | 29% | 63-71 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | at Harvardrank 59 | Away | 10% | 58-75 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at ProvidenceA win: 9% · a loss: 9%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at HarvardA win: 10% · a loss: 9%+1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahmani McKayleG | 1 | 36.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | +1.7 | +2.5 |
| Caroline DotseyF · transfer from Butler | 1 | 31.0 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | +0.8 | +1.6 |
| Ayanna FranksG | 1 | 27.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | +0.4 | +1.2 |
| Taylor DerkackG | 1 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Aiyanna PerkinsG | 1 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | −0.5 | +0.7 |
| Jess RossF | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −1.1 | +0.4 |
| Reagan HurstG · transfer from Tennessee Tech | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Chinenye OdenigboC | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | +2.3 | +1.0 |
| Alba CaballeroF · transfer from Ball State | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | +1.4 | +0.6 |
| Kylie SooleyF | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.6%rank 302 | 46.6%rank 334 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.5%rank 290 | 23.6%rank 231 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.5%rank 77 | 33.0%rank 100 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.1%rank 304 | 21.6%rank 301 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.8 expected (−0.8)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- 0.0 points a game (they shot 28.6%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 0-1
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +4.4
- Last season's net rating
- +8.7
- Last season's minutes returning
- 55%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.5
- Change since preseason
- −3.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 91.2 (rank 143)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 90.7 (rank 130)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.5 (rank 142)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +2.1 (rank 105)
Mid-American Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami (OH) | 2-0 | 0-0 | +9.2 | 91.8 | 82.6 | 81 |
| 2 | Ball State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.9 | 97.1 | 89.2 | 88 |
| 3 | Massachusetts | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.6 | 91.2 | 90.7 | 138 |
| 4 | Toledo | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.2 | 89.4 | 89.2 | 140 |
| 5 | Bowling Green | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.9 | 90.1 | 91.1 | 149 |
| 6 | Ohio | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.0 | 87.5 | 89.5 | 161 |
| 7 | Kent State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.1 | 91.3 | 94.4 | 176 |
| 8 | Central Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.4 | 86.3 | 91.7 | 192 |
| 9 | Eastern Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.1 | 86.6 | 96.7 | 232 |
| 10 | Buffalo | 1-0 | 0-0 | −12.2 | 86.8 | 99.0 | 255 |
| 11 | Western Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.3 | 81.4 | 93.7 | 257 |
| 12 | Akron | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.2 | 87.2 | 100.3 | 270 |