Ohio Bobcats
Next: vs Otterbein · Mon 9 Nov, 11 AM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament6%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.6
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 17-14
Net rating−1.9Rank 159 of 363 · offence 196, defence 112
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 17-14 (11 to 24 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 10-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 6%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 6%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.6
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field6%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monica WilliamsG | 1 | 36.0 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −0.7 | +1.0 |
| Bailey TabelingG | 1 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | +2.3 | +2.7 |
| Antonicia MoultrieG | 1 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | +0.3 | +1.4 |
| Kamie EllisG | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Asiah BaxterG | 1 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | +0.3 | +1.0 |
| Gigi BowerG | 1 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −0.9 | +0.5 |
| Danni ScullyF | 1 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | +0.1 | +0.8 |
| Irene Asensio ManosaG · transfer from UTEP | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.7 | −0.8 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 42.7%rank 335 | 43.1%rank 48 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 25.0%rank 305 | 25.9%rank 21 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.8%rank 240 | 35.3%rank 328 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 21.2%rank 117 | 22.1%rank 300 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.9 expected (+0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +2.6 points a game (they shot 23.5%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −1.6
- Last season's net rating
- +0.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 79%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.5
- Change since preseason
- −0.3
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 87.5 (rank 196)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 89.5 (rank 112)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 75.2 (rank 28)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −13.4 (rank 232)
Mid-American Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami (OH) | 2-0 | 0-0 | +9.5 | 91.8 | 82.4 | 80 |
| 2 | Ball State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.9 | 97.1 | 89.2 | 87 |
| 3 | Massachusetts | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.6 | 91.2 | 90.6 | 134 |
| 4 | Toledo | 0-1 | 0-0 | +0.3 | 89.4 | 89.2 | 143 |
| 5 | Ohio | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.9 | 87.5 | 89.5 | 159 |
| 6 | Kent State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.0 | 91.3 | 94.3 | 172 |
| 7 | Bowling Green | 2-0 | 0-0 | −3.3 | 90.2 | 93.5 | 179 |
| 8 | Eastern Michigan | 0-2 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 89.7 | 95.9 | 197 |
| 9 | Central Michigan | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.4 | 82.7 | 90.1 | 207 |
| 10 | Akron | 0-2 | 0-0 | −9.6 | 87.8 | 97.4 | 230 |
| 11 | Buffalo | 1-0 | 0-0 | −12.2 | 86.8 | 99.0 | 255 |
| 12 | Western Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.2 | 81.4 | 93.6 | 256 |