Milwaukee Panthers
Next: at Saint Louis · Thu 5 Nov, 8 PM ETProjected 63-73 · Game page
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.5
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-22
Net rating−12.8Rank 264 of 363 · offence 235, defence 291
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-22 (6 to 19 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.5
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Northwesternrank 103 | Away | 5% | 57-79 | L 60-64 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov8 PM ET | at Saint Louisrank 199 | Away | 22% | 63-73 | — | |
| Sun 8 Nov2 PM ET | at SIU Edwardsvillerank 248 | Away | 34% | 61-67 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | vs North Dakotarank 314 | Home | 75% | 70-60 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at Saint LouisA win: 1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: at SIU EdwardsvilleA win: 1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs North DakotaA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton RechliczG | 1 | 36.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | −4.0 | −1.2 |
| Tierney MadiganG | 1 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | −0.9 | +0.7 |
| Jaeda MurphyG · transfer from Miss Valley St | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | −3.5 | −0.7 |
| Izzy PughF | 1 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Rita GomesG | 1 | 18.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Madison FitzgibbonG | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | −3.1 | −0.3 |
| Kendall BarnesG | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Cece McNairC | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.5 | +0.2 |
| Jada WilliamsG | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.7 | −0.1 |
| Valerie Cassidy-De FalcoG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −4.6 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 46.4%rank 35 | 45.3%rank 271 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 22.1%rank 15 | 23.9%rank 116 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.7%rank 282 | 32.4%rank 67 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.2%rank 296 | 21.4%rank 286 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −2.6 points a game (they shot 33.3%, league 28.4%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.2 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 0-1
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.6
- Last season's net rating
- −19.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 72%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −4.5
- Change since preseason
- +1.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 85.2 (rank 235)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 98.0 (rank 291)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.7 (rank 320)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +4.3 (rank 93)
Horizon League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Bay | 0-1 | 0-0 | +9.0 | 96.3 | 87.2 | 84 |
| 2 | Youngstown State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.0 | 88.4 | 90.3 | 161 |
| 3 | Cleveland State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.3 | 88.7 | 92.0 | 181 |
| 4 | IU Indianapolis | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.9 | 88.9 | 94.8 | 195 |
| 5 | Purdue Fort Wayne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.6 | 88.6 | 98.2 | 227 |
| 6 | Oakland | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.7 | 88.1 | 97.7 | 228 |
| 7 | Northern Kentucky | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 85.4 | 96.8 | 243 |
| 8 | Robert Morris | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.5 | 83.5 | 96.0 | 262 |
| 9 | Milwaukee | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.8 | 85.2 | 98.0 | 264 |
| 10 | Detroit Mercy | 1-1 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 83.3 | 97.3 | 278 |
| 11 | Wright State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.2 | 86.5 | 100.7 | 281 |
| 12 | Northern Illinois | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.2 | 81.8 | 100.0 | 312 |