North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Next: vs Minot State · Sun 8 Nov, 2 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 8-18
Net rating−18.4Rank 316 of 363 · offence 307, defence 302
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 8-18 (4 to 12 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 3-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 0%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Crookston (MN)not Division I | Home | — | — | L 68-81 | |
| Sun 8 Nov2 PM ET | vs Minot Statenot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | at Milwaukeerank 285 | Away | 29% | 62-69 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 12 Nov: at MilwaukeeA win: <1% · a loss: 0%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayda MavesG | 1 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −2.7 | −0.3 |
| London HarrisG | 1 | 32.0 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | −5.9 | −2.2 |
| Ciona WellsG | 1 | 30.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Sydney PieknyG | 1 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −4.8 | −1.2 |
| Aliyah GreenF | 1 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Kendra HarveyG | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −5.8 | −1.1 |
| Lauren HillesheimG | 1 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.2 | −0.6 |
| Jayden SonnenbergG | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Maggie FrickeG | 1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Mia JacobsonG | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Addison KlosterbuerG | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 148 | 44.7%rank 141 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.9%rank 167 | 23.9%rank 138 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.3%rank 147 | 33.3%rank 147 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.8%rank 147 | 20.8%rank 154 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −18.3
- Last season's net rating
- −24.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 28%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 80.1 (rank 307)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 98.5 (rank 302)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.9 (rank 100)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Summit League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Dakota State | 0-1 | 0-0 | +17.7 | 104.1 | 86.4 | 46 |
| 2 | North Dakota State | 0-1 | 0-0 | +13.8 | 100.0 | 86.3 | 65 |
| 3 | South Dakota | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.1 | 89.8 | 92.9 | 176 |
| 4 | St. Thomas | 1-1 | 0-0 | −4.2 | 90.2 | 94.4 | 185 |
| 5 | Oral Roberts | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.3 | 89.9 | 98.2 | 213 |
| 6 | Kansas City | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.9 | 84.4 | 98.3 | 276 |
| 7 | North Dakota | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.4 | 80.1 | 98.5 | 316 |
| 8 | Omaha | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.9 | 79.7 | 98.6 | 319 |