Omaha Mavericks

Women's · Summit League · 0-1, 0-0 in conference · last L1

Next: vs Avila · Sat 7 Nov, 1 PM ET

Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.

Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 7-24

Net rating−18.8Rank 317 of 363 · offence 314, defence 305

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 7-24 (3 to 12 wins)
Projected conference record: 3-11
Wins or shares the conference title: 0%
Wins the conference tournament: <1%
Average seed if in the field: —
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field<1%
Round of 320%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Tue 3 Nov	at Kansasrank 70	Away	1%	50-85	L 48-66	Right
Sat 7 Nov1 PM ET	vs Avilanot Division I	Home	—	—	—
Mon 9 Nov7:30 PM ET	vs Western Illinoisrank 126	Home	19%	60-72	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: 0% · the next 7 days

Mon 9 Nov: vs Western IllinoisA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Mya SkoffG · transfer from Lindenwood	1	30.0	7.0	4.0	4.0	−2.1	+0.1
Halle DolliverG	1	22.0	8.0	3.0	0.0	−3.4	−0.5
Avril SmithF	1	21.0	0.0	7.0	0.0	−3.2	−0.4
Ava MarkowskiG	1	18.0	6.0	1.0	3.0	−3.2	−0.3
Cora OlsenF	1	17.0	4.0	0.0	1.0	−4.2	−0.6
Aduke OjulluF	1	17.0	10.0	1.0	0.0	−3.2	−0.3
Jade BrownF	1	17.0	5.0	7.0	0.0	−3.2	−0.3
Leekaya Burke PerrymanG	1	15.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	−7.3	−1.4
Nyaluak DakC · transfer from East Texas A&M	1	13.0	4.0	6.0	0.0	−4.0	−0.4
Ani LeuG	1	12.0	1.0	1.0	1.0	−3.1	−0.2
Ali StephensF	1	9.0	3.0	3.0	0.0	−7.2	−0.8
Elsa VedralG	1	4.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−8.1	−0.4
Sydney TerveenG	1	3.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	−2.8	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	43.7%rank 294	43.8%rank 76	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	24.0%rank 257	23.1%rank 292	23.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	34.1%rank 98	32.1%rank 56	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	19.5%rank 276	22.6%rank 334	20.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting: +9.4 points a game
Opponents' free throws: −1.7 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −20.5
Last season's net rating: −30.1
Last season's minutes returning: 67%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: +1.3
Change since preseason: +1.7

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 79.8 (rank 314)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 98.6 (rank 305)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 72.4 (rank 269)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: +12.5 (rank 69)

Summit League by rating

8 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	South Dakota State	0-1	0-0	+17.6	104.1	86.5	44
2	North Dakota State	0-1	0-0	+13.8	100.1	86.3	65
3	South Dakota	1-0	0-0	−3.1	89.8	93.0	178
4	St. Thomas	1-1	0-0	−4.1	90.2	94.4	183
5	Oral Roberts	0-1	0-0	−8.0	90.6	98.6	211
6	Kansas City	1-0	0-0	−13.9	84.4	98.3	277
7	North Dakota	0-1	0-0	−18.4	80.2	98.6	314
8	Omaha	0-1	0-0	−18.8	79.8	98.6	317