Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Women's · Atlantic Coast Conference · 2-0, 0-0 in conference · last W2

Next: vs West Virginia · Sun 8 Nov, 2 PM ET

West Virginia62%38%Georgia Tech

Projected 67-71 · Game page

Makes the tournament11%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 8.3

Wins the national title0%Final Four <1% · projected 14-16

Net rating+11.4Rank 71 of 363 · offence 76, defence 59

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 14-16 (10 to 19 wins)
Projected conference record: 7-11
Wins or shares the conference title: <1%
Wins the conference tournament: <1%
Average seed if in the field: 8.3
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field11%
Round of 325%
Sweet 161%
Elite Eight<1%
Final Four<1%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Mon 2 Nov	vs Hofstrarank 274	Home	98%	91-61	W 80-65	Right
Thu 5 Nov	vs Samfordrank 253	Home	97%	81-54	W 84-58	Right
Sun 8 Nov2 PM ET	vs West Virginiarank 35	Home	38%	67-71	—
Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET	vs Maryland Eastern Shorerank 295	Home	98%	80-52	—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 11% · the next 7 days

Sun 8 Nov: vs West VirginiaA win: 14% · a loss: 10%+3 pts
Thu 12 Nov: vs Maryland Eastern ShoreA win: 11% · a loss: 11%+1 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
La'Nya FosterG	2	33.5	17.5	8.5	3.0	+2.7	+3.0
Erica MoonG	2	32.0	10.5	3.0	4.5	+1.7	+2.3
Talayah WalkerG	2	31.5	28.0	5.5	2.5	+6.4	+5.0
Jordan OdeG	2	27.5	15.0	4.5	3.0	−0.5	+0.9
Ariadna TermisC	2	22.5	0.0	1.5	4.5	+1.9	+1.7
Ines NogueroG	2	22.0	5.0	4.5	2.0	+2.7	+2.0
Sofia MunozG · transfer from UAB	1	19.0	6.0	1.0	4.0	+2.8	+1.8
Leyre UrdiainG	2	9.0	1.5	2.5	1.0	+0.2	+0.4
Penda DiengF · transfer from Xavier	2	9.0	0.0	0.5	1.0	−0.8	+0.2
Autumn WashingtonG	2	1.5	0.0	0.5	0.0	+0.6	+0.1
Deborah MukebaC	1	2.0	3.0	1.0	0.0	+0.7	+0.1
Anna ConzaG	1	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	+0.7	+0.1

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	47.0%rank 27	45.5%rank 266	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.9%rank 234	24.5%rank 81	23.9%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	30.2%rank 356	32.1%rank 77	33.3%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	21.9%rank 74	21.3%rank 254	20.8%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 2.0 won, 2.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting: −2.1 points a game (they shot 31.8%, league 28.6%)
Opponents' free throws: −0.6 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

2 games played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: +14.8
Last season's net rating: +13.3
Last season's minutes returning: 55%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: +3.1
Change since preseason: −3.4

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 97.1 (rank 76)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 85.7 (rank 59)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 74.7 (rank 46)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: −12.9 (rank 227)

Atlantic Coast Conference by rating

18 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Louisville	2-0	0-0	+35.9	111.3	75.4	7
2	Duke	1-0	0-0	+33.5	108.5	74.9	12
3	Notre Dame	1-0	0-0	+29.6	111.5	81.9	17
4	North Carolina	0-1	0-0	+29.4	107.6	78.2	19
5	NC State	2-0	0-0	+28.4	107.6	79.2	23
6	Virginia Tech	2-0	0-0	+23.0	103.6	80.6	30
7	California	1-0	0-0	+22.5	103.6	81.1	32
8	Virginia	2-0	0-0	+19.7	103.0	83.3	38
9	Miami	2-0	0-0	+17.9	103.8	85.9	45
10	Syracuse	1-0	0-0	+15.8	98.8	83.0	55
11	Stanford	1-1	0-0	+14.4	100.3	85.9	63
12	Clemson	2-0	0-0	+14.3	101.0	86.7	64
13	Florida State	2-0	0-0	+12.2	100.4	88.2	69
14	Georgia Tech	2-0	0-0	+11.4	97.1	85.7	71
15	SMU	2-0	0-0	+3.0	89.2	86.2	113
16	Wake Forest	2-0	0-0	+0.6	92.0	91.5	136
17	Pittsburgh	1-0	0-0	−1.8	91.2	93.0	158
18	Boston College	0-2	0-0	−6.0	90.0	96.0	194