Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks
Makes the tournament45%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.6
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 26-7
Net rating+1.5Rank 127 of 363 · offence 108, defence 160
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 26-7 (19 to 31 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 19-3
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 65%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 44%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.6
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field45%
- Round of 321%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight<1%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | vs Dallasnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 136-41 | |
| Tue 10 Nov8 PM ET | at Houstonrank 169 | Away | 47% | 72-73 | — |
Rooting guide
- Tue 10 Nov: at HoustonA win: 44% · a loss: 46%−2 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex CrouseG | 1 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | −0.7 | +0.7 |
| Myka PerryG | 1 | 25.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | +1.6 | +1.8 |
| Braylee WinfreyG | 1 | 23.0 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | −0.6 | +0.7 |
| Anika HylandG | 1 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | −0.4 | +0.7 |
| KJ PinchonF | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −0.6 | +0.6 |
| Lydia CajusteG | 1 | 20.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | −0.1 | +0.8 |
| Katie FoxG | 1 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | −0.5 | +0.6 |
| Cha GardnerF | 1 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | +2.2 | +1.4 |
| Faith AckerF · transfer from Oklahoma St | 1 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | +3.5 | +1.6 |
| Taja BennettG | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | −0.4 | +0.4 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 148 | 44.7%rank 141 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.9%rank 167 | 23.9%rank 138 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.3%rank 147 | 33.3%rank 147 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.8%rank 147 | 20.8%rank 154 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +1.5
- Last season's net rating
- +1.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 64%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 93.5 (rank 108)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 92.0 (rank 160)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 75.2 (rank 28)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Southland Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen F. Austin | 1-0 | 0-0 | +1.5 | 93.5 | 92.0 | 127 |
| 2 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 87.4 | 94.5 | 204 |
| 3 | Incarnate Word | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.4 | 87.3 | 95.7 | 216 |
| 4 | Lamar | 1-1 | 0-0 | −8.9 | 88.2 | 97.1 | 220 |
| 5 | Northwestern State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.9 | 83.1 | 95.0 | 251 |
| 6 | Nicholls | 1-1 | 0-0 | −12.1 | 81.8 | 93.9 | 254 |
| 7 | McNeese | 2-0 | 0-0 | −12.4 | 80.2 | 92.6 | 257 |
| 8 | East Texas A&M | 1-1 | 0-0 | −12.4 | 84.0 | 96.4 | 261 |
| 9 | SE Louisiana | 1-1 | 0-0 | −14.1 | 85.3 | 99.4 | 279 |
| 10 | Houston Christian | 1-1 | 0-0 | −17.9 | 76.0 | 93.8 | 308 |
| 11 | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 1-0 | 0-0 | −21.3 | 77.3 | 98.5 | 334 |
| 12 | LSU New Orleans | 0-2 | 0-0 | −30.2 | 74.3 | 104.6 | 357 |