SE Louisiana Lady Lions
Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-19
Net rating−14.0Rank 279 of 363 · offence 231, defence 315
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-19 (9 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 10-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 2%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field2%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at LSUrank 5 | Away | 0% | 59-111 | L 35-129 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov | vs Arkansas Monticellonot Division I | Home | — | — | W 71-64 | |
| Thu 12 Nov7:30 PM ET | at TCUrank 16 | Away | 0% | 48-89 | — |
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah CollinsG | 2 | 31.5 | 13.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | −1.4 | +0.4 |
| Natalie HuffG | 2 | 31.0 | 16.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | −4.0 | −1.0 |
| Micah CooperG · transfer from Bradley | 2 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | −3.0 | −0.4 |
| Eryn McKinzieG | 2 | 25.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | −3.9 | −0.8 |
| Susan FahnbullehG | 2 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Diana SzakolcziG | 2 | 15.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | +0.1 |
| Lillian MerowC · transfer from Omaha | 2 | 14.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −5.6 | −0.9 |
| Shaine ParkerF | 2 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Trinity Jackson-WilkinsF | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Deena HolmesF | 1 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | +0.2 |
| Ne'talya HurstG | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.4 | +0.1 |
| Emma LucioG | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.3 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.8%rank 277 | 47.4%rank 357 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 27.7%rank 360 | 22.8%rank 317 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.4%rank 283 | 39.3%rank 363 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 21.9%rank 49 | 21.2%rank 275 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −13.0 points a game (they shot 50.0%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.0
- Last season's net rating
- −20.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 49%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.4
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 85.2 (rank 231)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 99.3 (rank 315)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.5 (rank 242)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +40.0 (rank 3)
Southland Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen F. Austin | 1-0 | 0-0 | +1.5 | 93.4 | 91.9 | 125 |
| 2 | Lamar | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.1 | 89.1 | 91.2 | 160 |
| 3 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 87.3 | 94.4 | 204 |
| 4 | Incarnate Word | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.3 | 87.3 | 95.6 | 213 |
| 5 | McNeese | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.5 | 84.7 | 93.2 | 217 |
| 6 | Nicholls | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 83.2 | 94.7 | 247 |
| 7 | Northwestern State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.9 | 83.0 | 94.9 | 254 |
| 8 | East Texas A&M | 1-1 | 0-0 | −12.3 | 84.0 | 96.3 | 258 |
| 9 | SE Louisiana | 1-1 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 85.2 | 99.3 | 279 |
| 10 | Houston Christian | 1-1 | 0-0 | −17.8 | 75.9 | 93.7 | 305 |
| 11 | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 1-0 | 0-0 | −21.3 | 77.2 | 98.4 | 336 |
| 12 | LSU New Orleans | 0-2 | 0-0 | −30.7 | 74.1 | 104.8 | 358 |