UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
Next: at South Dakota · Fri 6 Nov, 12 PM ETProjected 61-70 · Game page
Makes the tournament10%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.0
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 17-17
Net rating−7.2Rank 204 of 363 · offence 200, defence 220
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 17-17 (10 to 24 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 14-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 11%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 10%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.0
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field10%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Arlington Baptistnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 114-47 | |
| Fri 6 Nov12 PM ET | at South Dakotarank 175 | Away | 27% | 61-70 | — | |
| Sun 8 Nov1 PM ET | at Kansas Staterank 58 | Away | 4% | 53-77 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7:30 PM ET | vs Abilene Christianrank 89 | Home | 29% | 62-70 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at South DakotaA win: 10% · a loss: 10%−1 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: at Kansas StateA win: 11% · a loss: 10%+1 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs Abilene ChristianA win: 11% · a loss: 10%+1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesslynn JalomoG · transfer from Nicholls | 1 | 23.0 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | −1.7 | +0.2 |
| Kamryn McLaurinG · transfer from Hou Christian | 1 | 22.0 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | −0.7 | +0.6 |
| Madison HuhnG | 1 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Janette AarnioG · transfer from South Florida | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | +0.8 | +1.0 |
| Rylie WhitehairF | 1 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | +0.4 |
| Erin MaguireG | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −2.0 | +0.1 |
| Elizabeth RomerG | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Gianna AngioletG | 1 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Lina FimboF | 1 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −1.1 | +0.3 |
| Elise HorneF | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Jessica BordersG | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −0.9 | +0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.6%rank 143 | 44.6%rank 134 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.9%rank 154 | 23.9%rank 129 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.4%rank 141 | 33.4%rank 137 | 33.4% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.4%rank 139 | 20.4%rank 146 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −7.2
- Last season's net rating
- −3.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 52%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −4.1
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 87.1 (rank 200)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 94.3 (rank 220)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.7 (rank 224)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Southland Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen F. Austin | 1-0 | 0-0 | +1.5 | 93.3 | 91.7 | 125 |
| 2 | Lamar | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.1 | 89.0 | 91.1 | 160 |
| 3 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 87.1 | 94.3 | 204 |
| 4 | Incarnate Word | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.3 | 87.2 | 95.5 | 213 |
| 5 | McNeese | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.5 | 84.6 | 93.1 | 217 |
| 6 | Nicholls | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 83.1 | 94.5 | 247 |
| 7 | Northwestern State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.9 | 82.9 | 94.8 | 253 |
| 8 | East Texas A&M | 1-1 | 0-0 | −12.3 | 83.8 | 96.2 | 257 |
| 9 | SE Louisiana | 1-1 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 85.1 | 99.2 | 278 |
| 10 | Houston Christian | 1-1 | 0-0 | −17.8 | 75.8 | 93.6 | 305 |
| 11 | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 1-0 | 0-0 | −21.3 | 77.0 | 98.3 | 336 |
| 12 | LSU New Orleans | 0-2 | 0-0 | −30.7 | 74.0 | 104.7 | 358 |