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Updated Thu 5 Nov, 9:50 PM ET

Scores, schedules and lines from ESPN; past seasons from sportsdataverse. Not affiliated with any team, league or bookmaker.

LSU New Orleans Privateers

Women's · Southland Conference · 0-2, 0-0 in conference · last L2

Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 4-29
Net rating−30.2Rank 357 of 363 · offence 352, defence 361

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons
Projected record
4-29 (1 to 8 wins)
Projected conference record
2-20
Wins or shares the conference title
0%
Wins the conference tournament
<1%
Average seed if in the field
—
A 1 seed
0%
  1. Makes the field<1%
  2. Round of 320%
  3. Sweet 160%
  4. Elite Eight0%
  5. Final Four0%
  6. Title game0%
  7. Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game
DateOpponentWhereWin chanceProjectedResultPick
Mon 2 Novat Arkansasrank 81Away2%69-98L 48-127Right
Wed 4 Novat Alabamarank 26Away0%44-95L 45-118Right
Sat 7 Nov12 PM ETat Texas A&Mrank 78Away0%50-91—
Thu 12 Nov7:30 PM ETat Tulanerank 114Away0%51-86—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: 0% · the next 7 days
  1. Thu 12 Nov: at TulaneA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement
PlayerGamesMinutesPointsReboundsAssistsRatingValue
Sophia EdwinG232.06.01.53.0−6.5−2.8
Rhian ComeryF231.516.05.50.0−6.2−2.5
Destinie GordonF228.07.05.50.5−6.1−2.2
Gianna EricksenG226.52.52.00.5−6.2−2.1
Tajenae GoodenG224.58.04.01.0−6.2−1.9
Gabby EdoC218.55.05.51.0−5.6−1.2
Jadaya BranchG218.02.02.51.5−5.8−1.3
Mackenzie JosephG213.00.03.50.0−5.4−0.8
Cameron DaCostaG28.00.01.51.0−5.2−0.5

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

OffenceDefenceLeague
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin42.4%rank 34646.6%rank 33444.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin30.6%rank 36321.9%rank 34823.9%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin35.0%rank 5237.5%rank 36233.3%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin21.4%rank 10319.8%rank 9620.8%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances
0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting
−2.4 points a game (they shot 30.9%, league 28.6%)
Opponents' free throws
−1.6 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

2 games played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team
−40−30−20−100+101 NovNow−30.2−40−30−20−100+101 NovNow−30.2
Preseason net rating
−23.5
Last season's net rating
−26.5
Last season's minutes returning
0%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes
−1.3
Change since preseason
−6.7
Offence, points per 100 possessions
74.3 (rank 352)
Defence, points allowed per 100
104.6 (rank 361)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
78.1 (rank 1)
Schedule so far, opponents' average
+17.1 (rank 52)

Southland Conference by rating

12 teams
#TeamRecordConferenceNetOffenceDefenceNational rank
1Stephen F. Austin1-00-0+1.593.592.0127
2UT Rio Grande Valley1-00-0−7.287.494.5204
3Incarnate Word1-00-0−8.487.395.7216
4Lamar1-10-0−8.988.297.1220
5Northwestern State1-00-0−11.983.195.0251
6Nicholls1-10-0−12.181.893.9254
7McNeese2-00-0−12.480.292.6257
8East Texas A&M1-10-0−12.484.096.4261
9SE Louisiana1-10-0−14.185.399.4279
10Houston Christian1-10-0−17.976.093.8308
11Texas A&M-Corpus Christi1-00-0−21.377.398.5334
12LSU New Orleans0-20-0−30.274.3104.6357